Home › Football › Diski Challenge › Siwelele U23 v Orlando Pirates U23

Siwelele U23 v Orlando Pirates U23

Siwelele U23

2–1Full time

Orlando Pirates U23

Diski Challenge · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 11:42

Siwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23 ORLANDO PIRATES U23 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Orlando Pirates U23 win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.797

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Orlando Pirates U23 win at 47%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Orlando Pirates U23 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 28–25–47
1′KICK-OFF Siwelele U23 v Orlando Pirates U23
24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Siwelele U23 0–1 Orlando Pirates U23
26′We said Orlando Pirates U23 at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 0–1 · 8–18–73
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Orlando Pirates U23 win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
36′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 7–18–74
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
45′HALF-TIME Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
46′SECOND HALF Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Siwelele U23 1–1 Orlando Pirates U23
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Siwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Siwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Siwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Siwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Siwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23
FTFULL TIME Siwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23
FTSiwelele U23 2–1 Orlando Pirates U23 · Orlando Pirates U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Siwelele U23 win28%

Draw25%

Orlando Pirates U23 win47%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · orlando pirates u23 winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Orlando Pirates U23 a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Siwelele U23 win	28%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Orlando Pirates U23 win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Siwelele U23 or draw	53%	–	–
Siwelele U23 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Orlando Pirates U23 clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 7.1 10.4 8.1 4.3 1 7.7 11.9 9.0 4.7 2 4.5 6.7 5.1 2.6 3 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Siwelele U23 down, Orlando Pirates U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,275 Diski Challenge matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Diski Challenge matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Siwelele U23 at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Orlando Pirates U23 away: 2.00 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Siwelele U23, 1.55 for Orlando Pirates U23. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ORL 5–0 SIW · SIW 0–1 ORL

Form · last six in Diski Challenge

SIWELELE U23

DLWLLW1–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 2–0

ORLANDO PIRATES U23

WWWWLW2–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	AmaZulu U23	2	+4	6
2	Kaizer Chiefs U23	2	+3	6
3	TS Galaxy U23	2	+2	6
4	Sekhukhune United U23	2	+1	4
5	Orlando Pirates U23	2	+2	3
6	Siwelele U23	2	+1	3
7	Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2	0	3
8	Kruger United U23	2	0	3
9	Milford FC U23	2	0	3
10	Richards Bay U23	2	0	3
11	Golden Arrows U23	2	−1	3
12	Chippa United U23	2	−1	3
13	Marumo Gallants U23	2	−2	1
14	Polokwane City U23	2	−2	0
15	Durban City U23	2	−3	0
16	Stellenbosch U23	2	−4	0