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Sekhukhune United U23 v Chippa United U23

Sekhukhune United U23

4–1Full time

Chippa United U23

Diski Challenge · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 11:32

Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23 SEKHUKHUNE UNITED U23 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sekhukhune United U23 win~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.117

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 52 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sekhukhune United U23 win at 72%.
1′KICK-OFF Sekhukhune United U23 v Chippa United U23
2′Little has changed for our model: Sekhukhune United U23 72% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 72–16–12
4′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–1 · 50–21–29
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Sekhukhune United U23 0–1 Chippa United U23
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 50% now
6′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–1 · 49–21–29
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Sekhukhune United U23 1–1 Chippa United U23
9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 70% now
17′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–1 · 87–9–4
17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Sekhukhune United U23 2–1 Chippa United U23
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 87% now
25′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 3–1 · 96–3–1
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Sekhukhune United U23 3–1 Chippa United U23
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 96% now
30′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 96–3–1
45′HALF-TIME Sekhukhune United U23 3–1 Chippa United U23
46′SECOND HALF Sekhukhune United U23 3–1 Chippa United U23
65′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
65′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–43–13 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23
66′5 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
68′Goalless on 68′ when we expected about 3.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 40–47–13
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Sekhukhune United U23
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Chippa United U23
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 40% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Sekhukhune United U23 win 40%)
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, over 99% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Sekhukhune United U23 win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
69′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–48–12
76′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–60–10
77′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–62–10
80′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–68–8
82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Sekhukhune United U23
82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Chippa United U23
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 20% now
82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Sekhukhune United U23 win 20%)
83′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–76–6
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, over 99% now
83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Sekhukhune United U23 win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
85′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–80–5
85′GOAL DISALLOWED · 85' Sekhukhune United U23
85′GOAL DISALLOWED · 85' Chippa United U23
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 14% now
85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Sekhukhune United U23 win 14%)
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, over 99% now
85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Sekhukhune United U23 win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
90′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–88–3
90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Sekhukhune United U23
90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Chippa United U23
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 8% now
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Sekhukhune United U23 win 8%)
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23
91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, over 99% now
91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Sekhukhune United U23 win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
92′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+2' Sekhukhune United U23
92′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+2' Chippa United U23
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 6% now
92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Sekhukhune United U23 win 6%)
93′We said Sekhukhune United U23 at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23
93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, over 99% now
93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Sekhukhune United U23 win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' Sekhukhune United U23
93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' Chippa United U23
93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Sekhukhune United U23 win: 72% at kick-off, 4% now
93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Sekhukhune United U23 win 4%)
FTFULL TIME Sekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23
FTSekhukhune United U23 4–1 Chippa United U23 · Sekhukhune United U23 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sekhukhune United U23 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sekhukhune United U23 72%, draw 16%, Chippa United U23 12%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Sekhukhune United U23 v Chippa United U23Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Sekhukhune United U23 win72%

Draw16%

Chippa United U23 win12%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sekhukhune United U23

Chippa United U23

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Diski Challenge

Last match: 10 Oct · Diski Challenge

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Sekhukhune United U23	3	+3	7
14	Chippa United U23	3	−8	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sekhukhune united u23 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:57 · locked at kick-off

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Sekhukhune United U23 a 72% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.0, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sekhukhune United U23 v Chippa United U23~~2.73 – 1.05

~~Form · Diski Challenge this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 3~~3 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Sekhukhune United U23 win

Published at 20%, 72% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sekhukhune United U23 win	72%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Chippa United U23 win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Sekhukhune United U23 or draw	88%	–	–
Sekhukhune United U23 clean sheet	35%	–	–
Chippa United U23 clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.5 2.5 1 6.4 6.7 3.5 2 8.5 8.8 4.6 3 7.6 7.8 4.1 4 5.2 5.4 2.8 5 2.9 3.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Sekhukhune United U23 down, Chippa United U23 across0–5 goals a side shown (93.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,283 Diski Challenge matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Diski Challenge matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sekhukhune United U23 at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Chippa United U23 away: 0.83 scored, 4.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.73 goals for Sekhukhune United U23, 1.05 for Chippa United U23. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CHI 0–4 SEK · SEK 1–2 CHI · CHI 0–1 SEK · SEK 5–1 CHI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Diski Challenge this season · since 26 Sept

SEKHUKHUNE UNITED U23

WDW1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0

CHIPPA UNITED U23

WLL2–1 · 0–2 · 2–9

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaizer Chiefs U23	3	+4	9
2	AmaZulu U23	3	+4	7
3	Sekhukhune United U23	3	+3	7
4	TS Galaxy U23	3	+2	7
5	Golden Arrows U23	3	+6	6
6	Mamelodi Sundowns U23	3	+3	6
7	Siwelele U23	3	+2	6
8	Marumo Gallants U23	3	0	4
9	Orlando Pirates U23	3	+1	3
10	Richards Bay U23	3	−1	3
11	Milford FC U23	3	−2	3
12	Stellenbosch U23	3	−3	3
13	Kruger United U23	3	−3	3
14	Chippa United U23	3	−8	3
15	Polokwane City U23	3	−3	0
16	Durban City U23	3	−5	0