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Richards Bay U23 v Kaizer Chiefs U23

Richards Bay U23

0–1Full time

Kaizer Chiefs U23

Diski Challenge · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:11

Richards Bay U23 0–1 Kaizer Chiefs U23 KAIZER CHIEFS U23 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kaizer Chiefs U23 win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.323

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Richards Bay U23 win24%

Draw23%

Kaizer Chiefs U23 win54%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kaizer chiefs u23 winPublished 10 Oct 13:47

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Kaizer Chiefs U23 a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Richards Bay U23 win	24%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Kaizer Chiefs U23 win	54%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Richards Bay U23 or draw	46%	–	–
Richards Bay U23 clean sheet	16%	–	–
Kaizer Chiefs U23 clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.3 9.2 8.5 5.3 2.5 1 5.7 10.6 9.5 5.9 2.8 2 3.4 6.0 5.4 3.4 3 2.3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Richards Bay U23 down, Kaizer Chiefs U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,275 Diski Challenge matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Diski Challenge matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.62 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Richards Bay U23 at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Kaizer Chiefs U23 away: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Richards Bay U23, 1.85 for Kaizer Chiefs U23. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.62

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~KAI 2–2 RIC · RIC 0–4 KAI · KAI 3–1 RIC · RIC 2–2 KAI

Form · last six in Diski Challenge

RICHARDS BAY U23

DLWWWL2–2 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 0–2

KAIZER CHIEFS U23

WLLWWW5–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 11–0 · 3–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	AmaZulu U23	2	+4	6
2	Kaizer Chiefs U23	2	+3	6
3	TS Galaxy U23	2	+2	6
4	Sekhukhune United U23	2	+1	4
5	Orlando Pirates U23	2	+2	3
6	Siwelele U23	2	+1	3
7	Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2	0	3
8	Kruger United U23	2	0	3
9	Milford FC U23	2	0	3
10	Richards Bay U23	2	0	3
11	Golden Arrows U23	2	−1	3
12	Chippa United U23	2	−1	3
13	Marumo Gallants U23	2	−2	1
14	Polokwane City U23	2	−2	0
15	Durban City U23	2	−3	0
16	Stellenbosch U23	2	−4	0