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Polokwane City U23 v AmaZulu U23

Polokwane City U23
2–1Full time
AmaZulu U23

Diski Challenge · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 11:32
Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23 AMAZULU U23 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said AmaZulu U23 win44%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.788
The market’s Brier score0.727

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 55 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said AmaZulu U23 win at 44%.
  2. 2′Much as we predicted: AmaZulu U23 was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 28–28–44
  3. 33′We said AmaZulu U23 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–0 · 62–25–13
  4. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 13% now
  5. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was AmaZulu U23 win 13%)
  6. 34′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 62–25–13
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Polokwane City U23 1–0 AmaZulu U23
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Polokwane City U23 1–0 AmaZulu U23
  9. 47′We said AmaZulu U23 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 66–24–9
  10. 54′We said AmaZulu U23 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 22–48–31
  11. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Polokwane City U23 1–1 AmaZulu U23
  12. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 31% now
  13. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Polokwane City U23 win 22%)
  14. 57′We said AmaZulu U23 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 21–50–29
  15. 59′GOAL DISALLOWED · 59' AmaZulu U23
  16. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 6% now
  17. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
  18. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Polokwane City U23 1–1 AmaZulu U23
  19. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 28% now
  20. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Polokwane City U23 win 20%)
  21. 64′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 75–21–5
  22. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  23. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 5% now
  24. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 21%)
  25. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
  26. 65′GOAL DISALLOWED · 65' Polokwane City U23
  27. 65′GOAL DISALLOWED · 65' AmaZulu U23
  28. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 25% now
  29. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Polokwane City U23 win 18%)
  30. 66′We said AmaZulu U23 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
  31. 66′We said AmaZulu U23 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 17–58–24
  32. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  33. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
  34. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 20%)
  35. 70′GOAL DISALLOWED · 70' Polokwane City U23
  36. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 21% now
  37. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Polokwane City U23 win 16%)
  38. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  39. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 3% now
  40. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
  41. 74′We said AmaZulu U23 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 13–68–18
  42. 80′GOAL DISALLOWED · 80' Polokwane City U23
  43. 80′GOAL DISALLOWED · 80' AmaZulu U23
  44. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 13% now
  45. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Polokwane City U23 win 9%)
  46. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  47. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 1% now
  48. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
  49. 82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Polokwane City U23
  50. 82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' AmaZulu U23
  51. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, 10% now
  52. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Polokwane City U23 win 8%)
  53. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  54. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' AmaZulu U23 win: 44% at kick-off, under 1% now
  55. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
  56. 88′GOAL DISALLOWED · 88' Polokwane City U23
  57. 88′GOAL DISALLOWED · 88' AmaZulu U23
  58. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Polokwane City U23 win 4%)
  59. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  60. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
  61. 90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Polokwane City U23
  62. 90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' AmaZulu U23
  63. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Polokwane City U23 win 3%)
  64. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  65. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Polokwane City U23 win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
  66. FTFULL TIME Polokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23
  67. FTPolokwane City U23 2–1 AmaZulu U23 · AmaZulu U23 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

AmaZulu U23 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Polokwane City U23 28%, draw 27%, AmaZulu U23 44%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Polokwane City U23 v AmaZulu U23Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Polokwane City U23 win28%
Draw27%
AmaZulu U23 win44%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Polokwane City U23

AmaZulu U23

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Diski Challenge

Last match: 10 Oct · Diski Challenge

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2AmaZulu U233+47
15Polokwane City U233−30

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · amazulu u23 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 17 Oct 05:27 · locked at kick-off
44% The market42%
Us44%
Market42%

We make AmaZulu U23 a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Polokwane City U23 v AmaZulu U231.02 – 1.36
Form · Diski Challenge this season · since 26 SeptW0 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L0
Table places · points 0 v 715 v 2
The market · AmaZulu U23 win42% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 08:40
Our probability · AmaZulu U23 win The market, margin stripped

Published at 45%, 44% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Polokwane City U23 win28%31%−3
Draw27%27%0
AmaZulu U23 win44%42%+2
Over 2.5 goals43%49%−6
Both teams to score47%53%−6
Over 1.5 goals69%72%−3
Over 3.5 goals22%29%−7
Polokwane City U23 or draw56%58%−2
Polokwane City U23 clean sheet26%––
AmaZulu U23 clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 9.6 12.4 8.5 3.9 1 9.3 12.8 8.5 3.9 2 4.9 6.5 4.4 3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Polokwane City U23 down, AmaZulu U23 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting3.17
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsPOL 0–2 AMA · AMA 4–1 POL · POL 2–1 AMA · AMA 1–1 POL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Diski Challenge this season · since 26 Sept

POLOKWANE CITY U23

LLL0–1 · 2–3 · 1–2

AMAZULU U23

WWD2–0 · 2–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kaizer Chiefs U233+49
2AmaZulu U233+47
3Sekhukhune United U233+37
4TS Galaxy U233+27
5Golden Arrows U233+66
6Mamelodi Sundowns U233+36
7Siwelele U233+26
8Marumo Gallants U23304
9Orlando Pirates U233+13
10Richards Bay U233−13
11Milford FC U233−23
12Stellenbosch U233−33
13Kruger United U233−33
14Chippa United U233−83
15Polokwane City U233−30
16Durban City U233−50

The competition's standings before kick-off.