Orbit College v Venda FC prediction · 1st Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Orbit CollegeDrawVenda FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Orbit College 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Orbit College are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Orbit College 45%, draw 31%, Venda FC 23%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Orbit College v Venda FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Orbit College win45%

Draw31%

Venda FC win23%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Orbit College

Venda FC

7Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · 1st Division (South Africa)

Last match: 24 Oct · 1st Division (South Africa)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Orbit College	8	−6	3
16	Venda FC	7	−9	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · orbit college winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Orbit College a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Orbit College v Venda FC~~1.18 – 0.76

~~Form · last six in 1st Division this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 3 v 1~~14 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Orbit College win	45%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Venda FC win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Orbit College or draw	77%	–	–
Orbit College clean sheet	47%	–	–
Venda FC clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.6%

0123450 14.8 10.6 4.2 1 16.6 13.1 4.9 2 10.0 7.5 2.9 3 3.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Orbit College down, Venda FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,259 1st Division matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 28.3% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Orbit College at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Venda FC away: 0.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Orbit College, 0.76 for Venda FC. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ORB 0–0 VEN · VEN 0–2 ORB · VEN 1–2 ORB · ORB 0–1 VEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st Division this season · since 5 Sept

ORBIT COLLEGE

LDLDLL1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–2

VENDA FC

LLLLLL0–2 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Magesi	7	+7	17
2	Cape Town City	8	+6	17
3	Casric Stars	8	+3	16
4	Upington City	8	+3	14
5	Hope FC	8	+1	14
6	Hungry Lions	7	+5	12
7	Highbury	8	+1	12
8	Lerumo Lions	7	+2	11
9	Gomora United FC	7	0	11
10	Leicesterfield	7	−1	10
11	University of Pretoria	7	−1	8
12	Midlands Wanderers	8	−1	8
13	NWU FC	7	−2	7
14	Orbit College	8	−6	3
15	The Bees	8	−8	3
16	Venda FC	7	−9	1