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Magesi v NWU FC

Magesi

0–0Full time

NWU FC

1st Division · SAT 10 OCT · Peter Mokaba Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Magesi 0–0 NWU FC MAGESI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Magesi win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.780

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Magesi win48%

Draw29%

NWU FC win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

Venue · Peter Mokaba Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · magesi winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Magesi a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Magesi win	48%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
NWU FC win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Magesi or draw	78%	–	–
Magesi clean sheet	46%	–	–
NWU FC clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.8%

0123450 13.0 9.4 3.9 1 15.8 12.9 5.0 2 10.5 8.1 3.2 3 4.6 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Magesi down, NWU FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,239 1st Division matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1st Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 25.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Magesi at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). NWU FC away: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Magesi, 0.79 for NWU FC. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 1st Division

MAGESI

DWWWWD2–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

NWU FC

DLLDD1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Magesi	5	+5	13
2	Casric Stars	5	+4	12
3	Leicesterfield	5	+2	10
4	Highbury	5	+2	10
5	Hope FC	5	0	9
6	Cape Town City	5	+2	8
7	Upington City	5	+1	8
8	Gomora United FC	5	0	8
9	Lerumo Lions	5	+1	7
10	Hungry Lions	5	+1	6
11	University of Pretoria	5	−1	5
12	Midlands Wanderers	5	−1	4
13	NWU FC	5	−3	3
14	The Bees	5	−4	3
15	Orbit College	5	−3	2
16	Venda FC	5	−6	1