Leicesterfield v NWU FC prediction · 1st Division

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Leicesterfield 0–1 NWU FC LEICESTERFIELD WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Leicesterfield win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.744

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Leicesterfield are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Leicesterfield 39%, draw 31%, NWU FC 30%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Leicesterfield v NWU FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Leicesterfield win39%

Draw31%

NWU FC win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Leicesterfield

NWU FC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st Division (South Africa)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Leicesterfield	6	0	10
13	NWU FC	6	−3	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leicesterfield winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Leicesterfield a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Leicesterfield v NWU FC~~1.13 – 0.94

~~Form · 1st Division this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D4 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 4~~7 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Leicesterfield win	39%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
NWU FC win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Leicesterfield or draw	70%	–	–
Leicesterfield clean sheet	39%	–	–
NWU FC clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.7%

0123450 13.1 11.4 5.6 1 13.7 13.7 6.3 2 8.0 7.5 3.5 3 3.0 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Leicesterfield down, NWU FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,249 1st Division matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Leicesterfield at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). NWU FC away: 0.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Leicesterfield, 0.94 for NWU FC. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1st Division this season · since 22 Aug

LEICESTERFIELD

WDLWWL1–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 0–2

NWU FC

DLLDDD1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Town City	7	+5	14
2	Magesi	6	+5	14
3	Casric Stars	6	+2	12
4	Lerumo Lions	7	+2	11
5	Highbury	7	+1	11
6	Gomora United FC	7	0	11
7	Leicesterfield	6	0	10
8	Hope FC	6	0	10
9	Hungry Lions	6	+3	9
10	University of Pretoria	6	+1	8
11	Upington City	6	0	8
12	Midlands Wanderers	6	0	7
13	NWU FC	6	−3	4
14	Orbit College	6	−3	3
15	The Bees	6	−6	3
16	Venda FC	6	−7	1