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Leicesterfield v Lerumo Lions

Leicesterfield
0–3Full time
Lerumo Lions

1st Division · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24
Leicesterfield 0–3 Lerumo Lions LEICESTERFIELD WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Leicesterfield win37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.663

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 35 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Leicesterfield win at 37%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Leicesterfield was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–30–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Leicesterfield v Lerumo Lions
  4. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Leicesterfield win 34%)
  5. 43′We said Leicesterfield at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–22–70
  6. 43′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 8–22–70
  7. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Leicesterfield 0–1 Lerumo Lions
  8. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 8% now
  9. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Lerumo Lions win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 42%)
  10. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Leicesterfield 0–2 Lerumo Lions
  12. 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Lerumo Lions
  13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 29% now
  14. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Lerumo Lions win 93%)
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Leicesterfield 0–2 Lerumo Lions
  16. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Leicesterfield 0–2 Lerumo Lions
  17. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 1% now
  18. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Lerumo Lions win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 44%)
  19. 48′We said Leicesterfield at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–6–93
  20. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Leicesterfield 0–2 Lerumo Lions
  21. 53′GOAL DISALLOWED · 53' Lerumo Lions
  22. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
  23. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Lerumo Lions win 94%)
  24. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Leicesterfield 0–2 Lerumo Lions
  25. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 1% now
  26. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Lerumo Lions win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 49%)
  27. 56′GOAL DISALLOWED · 56' Lerumo Lions
  28. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 25% now
  29. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Lerumo Lions win 95%)
  30. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Leicesterfield 0–2 Lerumo Lions
  31. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 1% now
  32. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Lerumo Lions win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 51%)
  33. 61′We said Leicesterfield at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–55–22
  34. 61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 61' Lerumo Lions
  35. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, 23% now
  36. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Lerumo Lions win 96%)
  37. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Leicesterfield 0–2 Lerumo Lions
  38. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Leicesterfield win: 37% at kick-off, under 1% now
  39. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Lerumo Lions win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 55%)
  40. 74′We said Leicesterfield at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–0 · 16–70–15
  41. 77′We said Leicesterfield at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–74–12
  42. 81′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  43. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Leicesterfield 0–3 Lerumo Lions
  44. FTFULL TIME Leicesterfield 0–3 Lerumo Lions
  45. FTLeicesterfield 0–3 Lerumo Lions · Leicesterfield win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Leicesterfield just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Leicesterfield 37%, draw 29%, Lerumo Lions 34%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Leicesterfield v Lerumo LionsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Leicesterfield win37%
Draw29%
Lerumo Lions win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Leicesterfield

Lerumo Lions

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st Division (South Africa)

Last match: 16 Oct · 1st Division (South Africa)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Lerumo Lions7+211
10Leicesterfield7−110

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leicesterfield winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make Leicesterfield a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Leicesterfield v Lerumo Lions1.16 – 1.09
Form · last six in 1st Division this season · since 29 AugW2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 10 v 1110 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Leicesterfield win37%––
Draw29%––
Lerumo Lions win34%––
Over 2.5 goals39%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals66%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Leicesterfield or draw66%––
Leicesterfield clean sheet34%––
Lerumo Lions clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%
0123450 11.1 11.2 6.3 2.3 1 11.9 13.6 7.2 2.6 2 7.1 7.6 4.1 3 2.7 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Leicesterfield down, Lerumo Lions across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsLEI 0–0 LER · LER 4–0 LEI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st Division this season · since 29 Aug

LEICESTERFIELD

DLWWLL1–1 · 1–3 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–1

LERUMO LIONS

WWLLDW2–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Magesi7+717
2Cape Town City8+617
3Casric Stars8+316
4Upington City8+314
5Hope FC8+114
6Hungry Lions7+512
7Highbury8+112
8Lerumo Lions7+211
9Gomora United FC7011
10Leicesterfield7−110
11University of Pretoria7−18
12Midlands Wanderers8−18
13NWU FC7−27
14Orbit College8−63
15The Bees8−83
16Venda FC7−91

The competition's standings before kick-off.