Gomora United FC v Cape Town City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cape Town City win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Cape Town City 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 33–29–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gomora United FC v Cape Town City
4. 3′We said Cape Town City at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 13–20–67
5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Gomora United FC 0–1 Cape Town City
6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 67% now
7. 6′GOAL DISALLOWED · 6' Cape Town City
8. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 37% now
9. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Gomora United FC 0–1 Cape Town City
10. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 67% now
11. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
12. 25′We said Cape Town City at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 10–21–70
13. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 9–21–70
14. 41′We said Cape Town City at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 1–6–93
15. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Gomora United FC 0–2 Cape Town City
16. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 93% now
17. 45′HALF-TIME Gomora United FC 0–2 Cape Town City
18. 46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+1' Cape Town City
19. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 74% now
20. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Gomora United FC 0–2 Cape Town City
21. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 94% now
22. 46′SECOND HALF Gomora United FC 0–2 Cape Town City
23. 50′We said Cape Town City at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 5–20–75
24. 50′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 5–20–75
25. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Gomora United FC 1–2 Cape Town City
26. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 75% now
27. 63′We said Cape Town City at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
28. 74′We said Cape Town City at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–2 · 1–13–86
29. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
30. 85′We said Cape Town City at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 6–88–6
31. 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 6–88–6
32. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Gomora United FC 2–2 Cape Town City
33. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 6% now
34. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Cape Town City win 6%)
35. 86′We said Cape Town City at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
36. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Gomora United FC 2–3 Cape Town City
37. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 95% now
38. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Cape Town City win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
39. 87′5 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–5–95
40. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Cape Town City win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
41. FTFULL TIME Gomora United FC 2–3 Cape Town City
42. FTGomora United FC 2–3 Cape Town City · Cape Town City win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.