Tabor Sežana v Koper
Tabor SežanaKoperCup · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Koper win at 62%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Tabor Sežana v Koper
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Koper 62% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 17–22–61
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Koper win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
- 39′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 17–33–50
- 41′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 17–34–49
- 45′HALF-TIME Tabor Sežana 0–0 Koper
- 45′SECOND HALF Tabor Sežana 0–0 Koper
- 51′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 16–39–44
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 17–36–48
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Koper win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
- 59′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 15–45–39
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Koper win 43%)
- 66′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 14–52–34
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Koper win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
- 71′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 12–59–29
- 76′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 10–67–23
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Koper win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
- 79′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 8–72–19
- 83′We said Koper at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–0 · 87–12–1
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Tabor Sežana 1–0 Koper
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Koper win: 62% at kick-off, 1% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Tabor Sežana win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 78%)
- 84′Tabor Sežana score on 83′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 88–11–1
- 90′1–0 at the end. Our 62% on Koper misses, and the record keeps it. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Tabor Sežana 1–0 Koper
- FTTabor Sežana 1–0 Koper · Koper win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Koper are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tabor Sežana 17%, draw 22%, Koper 62%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Tabor Sežana win17%Koper win62%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 16:30
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
Tabor SežanaMINKoperEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tabor Sežana
Koper
Last match: 16 Oct · 2. SNL
Last match: 18 Oct · 1. SNL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Koper a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 62% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tabor Sežana win | 17% | 20% | −3 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Koper win | 62% | 55% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 51% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 52% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 74% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 31% | +2 |
| Tabor Sežana or draw | 38% | 45% | −7 |
| Tabor Sežana clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Koper clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season
TABOR SEŽANA
No matches in our record yet.
KOPER
No matches in our record yet.