Šencur v Krško
ŠencurKrškoCup · SAT 24 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 1–1, the score after 90 minutes. It finished 3–2 after extra time.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Šencur win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Šencur was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–28–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Šencur v Krško
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Šencur win 34%)
- 37′We published Šencur at 37%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–21–9
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Šencur 1–0 Krško
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Šencur win: 37% at kick-off, 69% now
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Šencur win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 37%)
- 38′We published Šencur at 37%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
- 38′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 70–21–9
- 39′A goal for Šencur on 38′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 70–21–9
- 45′HALF-TIME Šencur 1–0 Krško
- 45′SECOND HALF Šencur 1–0 Krško
- 56′We published Šencur at 37%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Šencur win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 67′We published Šencur at 37%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 75′We published Šencur at 37%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 76′We said Šencur at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–1 · 15–70–15
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Šencur 1–1 Krško
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Šencur win: 37% at kick-off, 15% now
- 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Šencur win 85%)
- 77′We said Šencur at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
- 77′Krško score on 77′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 14–72–14
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Šencur win: 37% at kick-off, 14% now
- 83′We said Šencur at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Šencur win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 90′We said Šencur at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- 117′Šencur find the net on 117′. 2–1. 2–1 · 94–5–0
- 117′⚽ GOAL · 117' Šencur 2–1 Krško
- 118′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Šencur likeliest at 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 119′A goal for Krško on 119′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 5–91–4
- 119′⚽ GOAL · 119' Šencur 2–2 Krško
- 120′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 4–92–4
- 124′Šencur score on 120′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 99–1–0
- 124′⚽ GOAL · 120+3' Šencur 3–2 Krško
- 125′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 99–1–0
- 149′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 97%. 1–1 · 1–97–1
- FTFULL TIME Šencur 3–2 Krško after extra time
- FTŠencur 1–1 Krško after 90 minutes, as graded · Šencur win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Šencur just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Šencur 37%, draw 28%, Krško 35%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Šencur win37%Krško win35%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
ŠencurMINKrškoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Šencur
Krško
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - West
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. SNL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Šencur a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Šencur win | 37% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| Krško win | 35% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | – | – |
| Šencur or draw | 65% | – | – |
| Šencur clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Krško clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season
ŠENCUR
No matches in our record yet.
KRŠKO
No matches in our record yet.