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Podvinci v Radomlje

Podvinci
0–1Full time
Radomlje

Cup · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Podvinci 0–1 Radomlje RADOMLJE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Radomlje win78%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.073

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Radomlje win at 78%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Radomlje 78% before kick-off, 78% now. 0–0 · 7–14–78
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Podvinci v Radomlje
  4. 9′Radomlje find the net on 8′. 0–1. 0–1 · 2–6–92
  5. 9′We said Radomlje at 78% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 0–1 · 2–6–92
  6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Podvinci 0–1 Radomlje
  7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Radomlje win: 78% at kick-off, 92% now
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 2–7–91
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Podvinci 0–1 Radomlje
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Podvinci 0–1 Radomlje
  11. 81′We said Radomlje at 78% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  12. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Radomlje win: 78% at kick-off, 98% now
  13. FTFULL TIME Podvinci 0–1 Radomlje
  14. FTPodvinci 0–1 Radomlje · Radomlje win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Radomlje are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Podvinci 7%, draw 14%, Radomlje 78%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Podvinci v RadomljeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Podvinci win7%
Draw14%
Radomlje win78%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Podvinci

Radomlje

14Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. SNL - East

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. SNL

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · radomlje winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
78% The market–
Us78%

We make Radomlje a 78% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.6, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Podvinci v Radomlje0.70 – 2.63

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80%85% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 13:44
Our probability · Radomlje win

Published at 79%, 78% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Podvinci win7%––
Draw14%––
Radomlje win78%––
Over 2.5 goals65%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals43%––
Podvinci or draw22%––
Podvinci clean sheet7%––
Radomlje clean sheet50%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.4%
0123450 3.8 9.2 12.4 10.9 7.2 3.81 2.3 6.8 8.7 7.6 5.0 2.62 2.3 3.0 2.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Podvinci down, Radomlje across0–5 goals a side shown (94.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

PODVINCI

No matches in our record yet.

RADOMLJE

No matches in our record yet.