NK Ormoz v Rače
NK OrmozRačeCup · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said NK Ormoz win at 51%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: NK Ormoz 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
- 1′KICK-OFF NK Ormoz v Rače
- 38′A goal for Rače on 38′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–26–57
- 38′We said NK Ormoz at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–26–57
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' NK Ormoz 0–1 Rače
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' NK Ormoz win: 51% at kick-off, 17% now
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Rače win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was NK Ormoz win 43%)
- 39′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 16–26–58
- 45′We said NK Ormoz at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
- 45′HALF-TIME NK Ormoz 0–1 Rače
- 46′SECOND HALF NK Ormoz 0–1 Rače
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' NK Ormoz win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 57′NK Ormoz score on 56′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 35–46–20
- 57′We said NK Ormoz at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–46–20
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' NK Ormoz 1–1 Rače
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' NK Ormoz win: 51% at kick-off, 35% now
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Rače win 65%)
- 58′We said NK Ormoz at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–47–19
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' NK Ormoz win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
- 65′Rače find the net on 65′. 1–2. 1–2 · 6–23–70
- 65′We said NK Ormoz at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–2 · 6–23–70
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' NK Ormoz 1–2 Rače
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' NK Ormoz win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
- 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Rače win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 52%)
- 66′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 6–23–71
- 71′We said NK Ormoz at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' NK Ormoz win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
- 92′A goal for Rače on 90′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' NK Ormoz 1–3 Rače
- 93′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME NK Ormoz 1–3 Rače
- FTNK Ormoz 1–3 Rače · NK Ormoz win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
NK Ormoz are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: NK Ormoz 51%, draw 24%, Rače 24%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
NK Ormoz win51%Rače win24%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
NK OrmozMINRačeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
NK Ormoz
Rače
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - East
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - East
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make NK Ormoz a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 53%, 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Ormoz win | 51% | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – |
| Rače win | 24% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – | – |
| NK Ormoz or draw | 76% | – | – |
| NK Ormoz clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Rače clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026/27Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season
NK ORMOZ
No matches in our record yet.
RAČE
No matches in our record yet.