Litija v Svoboda

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Litija win at 80%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Litija was 80% before kick-off and our model makes it 80% now. 0–0 · 80–13–7
3. 1′KICK-OFF Litija v Svoboda
4. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Litija win: 80% at kick-off, 70% now
5. 39′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 68%. 0–0 · 68–23–9
6. 45′HALF-TIME Litija 0–0 Svoboda
7. 46′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–27–9
8. 46′SECOND HALF Litija 0–0 Svoboda
9. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Litija win: 80% at kick-off, 60% now
10. 54′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–32–9
11. 55′We expected about 3.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 58–33–9
12. 60′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–37–9
13. 65′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–42–9
14. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Litija win: 80% at kick-off, 49% now
15. 69′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–47–8
16. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Litija win 46%)
17. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Litija win: 80% at kick-off, 40% now
18. 73′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–54–8
19. 76′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–59–7
20. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Litija win: 80% at kick-off, 30% now
21. 79′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–66–6
22. 81′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–70–5
23. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Litija win: 80% at kick-off, 20% now
24. 84′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 17–79–4
25. 87′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–83–3
26. 90′A goal for Svoboda on 89′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–9–91
27. 90′We said Litija at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 0–1 · 0–9–91
28. 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Litija 0–1 Svoboda
29. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Litija win: 80% at kick-off, under 1% now
30. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Svoboda win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 87%)
31. FTFULL TIME Litija 0–1 Svoboda
32. FTLitija 0–1 Svoboda · Litija win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.