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Model 1.2

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Fužinar v Čarda Martjanci

Fužinar
5–1Full time
Čarda Martjanci

Cup · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Fužinar 5–1 Čarda Martjanci FUŽINAR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Fužinar win62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.213

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fužinar are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fužinar 62%, draw 16%, Čarda Martjanci 21%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 79%.

The AI’s read on Fužinar v Čarda MartjanciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Fužinar win62%
Draw16%
Čarda Martjanci win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fužinar

Čarda Martjanci

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - East

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - East

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fužinar winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:17 · locked at kick-off
62% The market–
Us62%

We make Fužinar a 62% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.8, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Fužinar v Čarda Martjanci3.10 – 1.84

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 13:44
Our probability · Fužinar win

Published at 61%, 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Fužinar win62%––
Draw16%––
Čarda Martjanci win21%––
Over 2.5 goals86%––
Both teams to score79%––
Over 1.5 goals95%––
Over 3.5 goals71%––
Fužinar or draw79%––
Fužinar clean sheet17%––
Čarda Martjanci clean sheet5%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 6.3%
0123450 1 2.3 4.4 3.8 2.3 2 3.6 6.3 5.7 3.4 3 3.6 6.3 5.7 3.5 4 2.7 4.8 4.3 2.7 5 3.0 2.7
under 2% 5% 12%+Fužinar down, Čarda Martjanci across0–5 goals a side shown (88.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsFUZ 5–0 CAR · CAR 0–0 FUZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

FUŽINAR

No matches in our record yet.

ČARDA MARTJANCI

No matches in our record yet.