Rudar Trbovlje v IB 1975 Ljubljana prediction · 3. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Rudar TrbovljeDrawIB 1975 Ljubljana

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rudar Trbovlje 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rudar Trbovlje are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rudar Trbovlje 56%, draw 21%, IB 1975 Ljubljana 23%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Rudar Trbovlje v IB 1975 LjubljanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Rudar Trbovlje win56%

Draw21%

IB 1975 Ljubljana win23%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00

RoundWest · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rudar Trbovlje

IB 1975 Ljubljana

11Days since last match11

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - West

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Rudar Trbovlje	10	−16	13
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	10	−9	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rudar trbovlje winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Rudar Trbovlje a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rudar Trbovlje v IB 1975 Ljubljana~~2.28 – 1.41

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 8~~7 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rudar Trbovlje win	56%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
IB 1975 Ljubljana win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Rudar Trbovlje or draw	77%	–	–
Rudar Trbovlje clean sheet	25%	–	–
IB 1975 Ljubljana clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.3 3.3 2.6 1 5.5 8.6 5.6 2.6 2 6.6 8.8 6.1 2.9 3 4.9 6.6 4.6 2.2 4 2.8 3.8 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rudar Trbovlje down, IB 1975 Ljubljana across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 385 3. SNL - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.2% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rudar Trbovlje at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). IB 1975 Ljubljana away: 0.67 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.28 goals for Rudar Trbovlje, 1.41 for IB 1975 Ljubljana. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~RUD 1–2 IBL · IBL 2–1 RUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - West this season · since 12 Sept

RUDAR TRBOVLJE

LLLLWL1–3 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–11

IB 1975 LJUBLJANA

LLDWLD2–3 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Izola	10	+44	30
2	Dob	10	+17	23
3	Zidgrad Idrija	10	+6	22
4	Litija	10	+15	18
5	Šencur	10	−1	16
6	Tolmin	10	+5	15
7	Rudar Trbovlje	10	−16	13
8	Škofja Loka	10	−5	12
9	Adria	10	0	10
10	Žiri	10	−2	10
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	10	−9	8
12	Šobec Lesce	10	−9	7
13	Vipava	10	−27	7
14	Svoboda	10	−18	4