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Litija v Dob

Litija

1–1Full time

Dob

3. SNL - West · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Litija 1–1 Dob DOB WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Dob win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.821

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Litija win34%

Draw26%

Dob win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dob winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Dob a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Litija win	34%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Dob win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Litija or draw	60%	–	–
Litija clean sheet	22%	–	–
Dob clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 6.7 7.5 6.3 3.3 1 6.8 12.0 8.4 4.3 2 5.2 7.6 5.7 3.0 3 2.5 3.6 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Litija down, Dob across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 370 3. SNL - West matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. SNL - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.6% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Litija at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 3). Dob away: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Litija, 1.54 for Dob. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - West

LITIJA

WDDWWW3–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 4–0

DOB

WLWWWW3–0 · 0–3 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Izola	8	+31	24
2	Dob	8	+15	19
3	Zidgrad Idrija	8	+2	16
4	Tolmin	8	+8	15
5	Šencur	8	+6	15
6	Litija	8	+8	14
7	Škofja Loka	8	−2	12
8	Rudar Trbovlje	8	−7	10
9	Adria	8	−4	7
10	Žiri	8	−4	7
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	8	−6	7
12	Vipava	8	−21	6
13	Šobec Lesce	8	−10	3
14	Svoboda	8	−16	1