IB 1975 Ljubljana v Vipava prediction · 3. SNL

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

IB 1975 Ljubljana 1–1 Vipava IB 1975 LJUBLJANA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said IB 1975 Ljubljana win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.015

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

IB 1975 Ljubljana are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: IB 1975 Ljubljana 59%, draw 21%, Vipava 21%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on IB 1975 Ljubljana v VipavaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

IB 1975 Ljubljana win59%

Draw21%

Vipava win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundWest · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

IB 1975 Ljubljana

Vipava

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. SNL - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	9	−9	7
12	Vipava	9	−27	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ib 1975 ljubljana winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make IB 1975 Ljubljana a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · IB 1975 Ljubljana v Vipava~~2.31 – 1.30

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - West this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~11 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
IB 1975 Ljubljana win	59%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Vipava win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
IB 1975 Ljubljana or draw	79%	–	–
IB 1975 Ljubljana clean sheet	28%	–	–
Vipava clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.7 3.1 2.4 1 5.8 8.8 5.3 2.3 2 7.2 9.0 5.8 2.6 3 5.4 6.8 4.4 4 3.2 4.0 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+IB 1975 Ljubljana down, Vipava across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 377 3. SNL - West matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

IB 1975 Ljubljana at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Vipava away: 1.50 scored, 4.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.31 goals for IB 1975 Ljubljana, 1.30 for Vipava. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~IBL 1–0 VIP · VIP 0–2 IBL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - West this season · since 5 Sept

IB 1975 LJUBLJANA

WLLDWL4–1 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–4

VIPAVA

LWLWLL2–3 · 5–3 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 1–7

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Izola	9	+34	27
2	Dob	9	+15	20
3	Zidgrad Idrija	9	+4	19
4	Šencur	9	+6	16
5	Litija	9	+8	15
6	Tolmin	9	+6	15
7	Rudar Trbovlje	9	−6	13
8	Škofja Loka	9	−3	12
9	Adria	9	+2	10
10	Žiri	9	−5	7
11	IB 1975 Ljubljana	9	−9	7
12	Vipava	9	−27	6
13	Šobec Lesce	9	−10	4
14	Svoboda	9	−15	4