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Šampion Celje v Hajdina

Šampion Celje

0–2Full time

Hajdina

3. SNL - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Šampion Celje 0–2 Hajdina ŠAMPION CELJE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Šampion Celje win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.637

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Šampion Celje win40%

Draw25%

Hajdina win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · šampion celje winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Šampion Celje a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Šampion Celje win	40%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Hajdina win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Šampion Celje or draw	65%	–	–
Šampion Celje clean sheet	24%	–	–
Hajdina clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.8 6.8 5.3 2.6 1 7.3 11.3 7.7 3.8 2 6.0 8.3 5.9 2.9 3 3.2 4.4 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Šampion Celje down, Hajdina across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 315 3. SNL - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.4% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Šampion Celje at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Hajdina away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Šampion Celje, 1.46 for Hajdina. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East

ŠAMPION CELJE

LWLLLL0–3 · 4–0 · 3–4 · 0–2 · 1–5 · 0–1

HAJDINA

WDLDWD3–1 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	8	+13	20
2	Šmartno	8	+8	16
3	Fužinar	8	+7	16
4	NK Ormoz	8	+7	16
5	Podvinci	9	−2	14
6	Hajdina	9	+1	13
7	Čarda Martjanci	8	+5	12
8	Korotan Prevalje	8	+2	11
9	Videm	9	−4	11
10	Rače	8	0	9
11	Ljutomer	9	−2	8
12	Dobrovce	8	−12	6
13	Šampion Celje	8	−8	4
14	Limbuš Pekre	8	−15	4