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Podvinci v Videm

Podvinci

0–2Full time

Videm

3. SNL - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Podvinci 0–2 Videm PODVINCI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Podvinci win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.640

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Podvinci win41%

Draw24%

Videm win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · podvinci winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Podvinci a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Podvinci win	41%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Videm win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Podvinci or draw	65%	–	–
Podvinci clean sheet	22%	–	–
Videm clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 4.8 6.0 4.9 2.5 1 6.5 10.7 7.8 4.0 2 5.7 8.4 6.3 3.3 3 3.2 4.7 3.5 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Podvinci down, Videm across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 315 3. SNL - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.4% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Podvinci at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Videm away: 2.33 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Podvinci, 1.54 for Videm. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~VID 1–0 POD · POD 4–0 VID · VID 2–1 POD · VID 1–2 POD

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East

PODVINCI

WWLLWD2–0 · 2–0 · 1–8 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–2

VIDEM

LWDDLW2–3 · 2–1 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	8	+13	20
2	Šmartno	8	+8	16
3	Fužinar	8	+7	16
4	NK Ormoz	8	+7	16
5	Podvinci	9	−2	14
6	Hajdina	9	+1	13
7	Čarda Martjanci	8	+5	12
8	Korotan Prevalje	8	+2	11
9	Videm	9	−4	11
10	Rače	8	0	9
11	Ljutomer	9	−2	8
12	Dobrovce	8	−12	6
13	Šampion Celje	8	−8	4
14	Limbuš Pekre	8	−15	4