Podvinci v Fužinar prediction · 3. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PodvinciDrawFužinar

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Fužinar 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fužinar are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Podvinci 33%, draw 22%, Fužinar 45%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Podvinci v FužinarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Podvinci win33%

Draw22%

Fužinar win45%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundEast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Podvinci

Fužinar

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovenian Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fužinar winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Fužinar a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Podvinci v Fužinar~~1.63 – 1.93

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 19~~8 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Podvinci win	33%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Fužinar win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Podvinci or draw	55%	–	–
Podvinci clean sheet	15%	–	–
Fužinar clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.3 5.4 5.3 3.4 1 4.6 9.1 8.3 5.4 2.7 2 3.9 7.1 6.7 4.3 2.1 3 2.1 3.9 3.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Podvinci down, Fužinar across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 3. SNL - East matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Podvinci at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Fužinar away: 2.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Podvinci, 1.93 for Fužinar. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~POD 0–1 FUZ · FUZ 0–2 POD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept

PODVINCI

WLLWDL2–0 · 1–8 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 0–2

FUŽINAR

WWWDWL4–3 · 4–2 · 4–3 · 4–4 · 5–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	10	+18	26
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	+6	19
4	Šmartno	10	+5	19
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Rače	10	+1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	−1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	−12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	−13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	−12	4