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Odranci v NK Ormoz

Odranci

3–0Full time

NK Ormoz

3. SNL - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Odranci 3–0 NK Ormoz ODRANCI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Odranci win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.251

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Odranci win59%

Draw18%

NK Ormoz win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · odranci winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Odranci a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Odranci win	59%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
NK Ormoz win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
Odranci or draw	77%	–	–
Odranci clean sheet	21%	–	–
NK Ormoz clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%

0123450 2.3 1 3.8 6.5 4.8 2.6 2 5.1 7.8 6.1 3.3 3 4.4 6.7 5.2 2.8 4 2.9 4.4 3.5 5 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Odranci down, NK Ormoz across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 315 3. SNL - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.4% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Odranci at home: 4.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 3). NK Ormoz away: 2.75 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.64 goals for Odranci, 1.60 for NK Ormoz. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East

ODRANCI

WWWDWD2–1 · 5–3 · 3–1 · 3–3 · 5–1 · 0–0

NK ORMOZ

WLDWLW3–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 3–4 · 4–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	8	+13	20
2	Šmartno	8	+8	16
3	Fužinar	8	+7	16
4	NK Ormoz	8	+7	16
5	Podvinci	9	−2	14
6	Hajdina	9	+1	13
7	Čarda Martjanci	8	+5	12
8	Korotan Prevalje	8	+2	11
9	Videm	9	−4	11
10	Rače	8	0	9
11	Ljutomer	9	−2	8
12	Dobrovce	8	−12	6
13	Šampion Celje	8	−8	4
14	Limbuš Pekre	8	−15	4