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Ljutomer v Čarda Martjanci

Ljutomer

0–2Full time

Čarda Martjanci

3. SNL - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Ljutomer 0–2 Čarda Martjanci ČARDA MARTJANCI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Čarda Martjanci win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.509

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ljutomer win37%

Draw21%

Čarda Martjanci win42%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · čarda martjanci winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Čarda Martjanci a 42% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ljutomer win	37%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Ljutomer or draw	58%	–	–
Ljutomer clean sheet	13%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.3%

0123450 2.2 3.4 3.8 2.7 1 3.2 7.3 7.2 5.0 2.7 2 3.4 6.8 6.9 4.8 2.6 3 2.2 4.4 4.5 3.2 4 2.2 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ljutomer down, Čarda Martjanci across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 315 3. SNL - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.4% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 6.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ljutomer at home: 3.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Čarda Martjanci away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.97 goals for Ljutomer, 2.13 for Čarda Martjanci. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~6.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CAR 5–2 LJU · LJU 1–5 CAR

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East

LJUTOMER

LDDLLL1–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–2

ČARDA MARTJANCI

LDWDWD1–3 · 1–1 · 7–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	8	+13	20
2	Šmartno	8	+8	16
3	Fužinar	8	+7	16
4	NK Ormoz	8	+7	16
5	Podvinci	9	−2	14
6	Hajdina	9	+1	13
7	Čarda Martjanci	8	+5	12
8	Korotan Prevalje	8	+2	11
9	Videm	9	−4	11
10	Rače	8	0	9
11	Ljutomer	9	−2	8
12	Dobrovce	8	−12	6
13	Šampion Celje	8	−8	4
14	Limbuš Pekre	8	−15	4