Limbuš Pekre v Podvinci prediction · 3. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Limbuš PekreDrawPodvinci

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Limbuš Pekre 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Limbuš Pekre are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Limbuš Pekre 40%, draw 26%, Podvinci 35%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Limbuš Pekre v PodvinciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Limbuš Pekre win40%

Draw26%

Podvinci win35%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundEast · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Limbuš Pekre

Podvinci

11Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - East

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovenian Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	−13	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · limbuš pekre winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Limbuš Pekre a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Limbuš Pekre v Podvinci~~1.45 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 14~~13 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Limbuš Pekre win	40%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Podvinci win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Limbuš Pekre or draw	65%	–	–
Limbuš Pekre clean sheet	27%	–	–
Podvinci clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 6.9 8.1 5.6 2.5 1 8.8 12.0 7.7 3.5 2 6.5 8.3 5.5 2.5 3 3.2 4.1 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Limbuš Pekre down, Podvinci across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 3. SNL - East matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Limbuš Pekre at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Podvinci away: 1.67 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Limbuš Pekre, 1.33 for Podvinci. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept

LIMBUŠ PEKRE

DLLLDW1–1 · 0–4 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 3–1

PODVINCI

WLLWDL2–0 · 1–8 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	10	+18	26
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	+6	19
4	Šmartno	10	+5	19
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Rače	10	+1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	−1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	−12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	−13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	−12	4