Korotan Prevalje v Odranci prediction · 3. SNL

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Korotan Prevalje 1–3 Odranci ODRANCI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Odranci win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.526

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Odranci are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Korotan Prevalje 36%, draw 23%, Odranci 41%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Korotan Prevalje v OdranciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Korotan Prevalje win36%

Draw23%

Odranci win41%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundEast · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Korotan Prevalje

Odranci

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. SNL - East

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · odranci winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Odranci a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Korotan Prevalje v Odranci~~1.60 – 1.74

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 11 v 23~~9 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Korotan Prevalje win	36%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Odranci win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Korotan Prevalje or draw	59%	–	–
Korotan Prevalje clean sheet	18%	–	–
Odranci clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.2 6.0 5.4 3.2 1 5.5 10.0 8.3 4.8 2.2 2 4.6 7.6 6.5 3.8 3 2.5 4.1 3.5 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Korotan Prevalje down, Odranci across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 322 3. SNL - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.7% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Korotan Prevalje at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Odranci away: 2.20 scored, 1.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Korotan Prevalje, 1.74 for Odranci. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 4 Sept

KOROTAN PREVALJE

DLDWDL1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 4–4 · 0–1

ODRANCI

WWDWDW5–3 · 3–1 · 3–3 · 5–1 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	9	+16	23
2	Fužinar	9	+11	19
3	Šmartno	9	+4	16
4	NK Ormoz	9	+4	16
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	9	+7	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Korotan Prevalje	9	+1	11
10	Rače	9	0	10
11	Dobrovce	9	−11	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	9	−15	5
14	Šampion Celje	9	−10	4