Korotan Prevalje v Hajdina prediction · 3. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Korotan PrevaljeDrawHajdina

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Korotan Prevalje 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Korotan Prevalje are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Korotan Prevalje 45%, draw 26%, Hajdina 29%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Korotan Prevalje v HajdinaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Korotan Prevalje win45%

Draw26%

Hajdina win29%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundEast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Korotan Prevalje

Hajdina

14Days since last match21

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - East

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. SNL - East

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	−1	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · korotan prevalje winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Korotan Prevalje a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Korotan Prevalje v Hajdina~~1.55 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 16~~10 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Korotan Prevalje win	45%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Hajdina win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Korotan Prevalje or draw	71%	–	–
Korotan Prevalje clean sheet	31%	–	–
Hajdina clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 7.0 7.5 4.6 1 9.8 11.9 6.9 2.8 2 7.7 8.9 5.3 2.1 3 4.0 4.7 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Korotan Prevalje down, Hajdina across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 3. SNL - East matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Korotan Prevalje at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hajdina away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Korotan Prevalje, 1.19 for Hajdina. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HAJ 0–2 KOR · KOR 0–1 HAJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept

KOROTAN PREVALJE

LDWDLL0–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 4–4 · 0–1 · 1–3

HAJDINA

DLDWDW1–1 · 2–4 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	10	+18	26
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	+6	19
4	Šmartno	10	+5	19
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Rače	10	+1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	−1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	−12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	−13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	−12	4