Hajdina v NK Ormoz prediction · 3. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HajdinaDrawNK Ormoz

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hajdina 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hajdina are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hajdina 44%, draw 24%, NK Ormoz 32%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Hajdina v NK OrmozBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Hajdina win44%

Draw24%

NK Ormoz win32%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundEast · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hajdina

NK Ormoz

18Days since last match4

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. SNL - East

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovenian Cup

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	NK Ormoz	10	+6	19
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hajdina winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Hajdina a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hajdina v NK Ormoz~~1.70 – 1.41

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 19~~5 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hajdina win	44%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
NK Ormoz win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Hajdina or draw	68%	–	–
Hajdina clean sheet	25%	–	–
NK Ormoz clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.0 6.2 4.5 2.2 1 7.4 10.7 7.3 3.5 2 6.4 8.8 6.1 2.9 3 3.7 5.0 3.5 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hajdina down, NK Ormoz across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 3. SNL - East matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Hajdina at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). NK Ormoz away: 2.20 scored, 2.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Hajdina, 1.41 for NK Ormoz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept

HAJDINA

DLDWDW1–1 · 2–4 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

NK ORMOZ

DWLWLW1–1 · 4–0 · 3–4 · 4–3 · 0–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	10	+18	26
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	+6	19
4	Šmartno	10	+5	19
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Rače	10	+1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	−1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	−12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	−13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	−12	4