Fužinar v Čarda Martjanci prediction · 3. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FužinarDrawČarda Martjanci

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Fužinar 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fužinar are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fužinar 62%, draw 16%, Čarda Martjanci 21%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 79%.

The AI’s read on Fužinar v Čarda MartjanciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Fužinar win62%

Draw16%

Čarda Martjanci win21%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundEast · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fužinar

Čarda Martjanci

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovenian Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fužinar winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Fužinar a 62% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.8, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fužinar v Čarda Martjanci~~3.10 – 1.84

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 19 v 15~~2 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fužinar win	62%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	86%	–	–
Both teams to score	79%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	71%	–	–
Fužinar or draw	79%	–	–
Fužinar clean sheet	17%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 6.3%

0123450 1 2.3 4.4 3.8 2.3 2 3.6 6.3 5.7 3.4 3 3.6 6.3 5.7 3.4 4 2.7 4.8 4.3 2.7 5 3.0 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Fužinar down, Čarda Martjanci across0–5 goals a side shown (88.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 3. SNL - East matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fužinar at home: 3.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Čarda Martjanci away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.10 goals for Fužinar, 1.84 for Čarda Martjanci. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~FUZ 5–1 CAR · FUZ 5–0 CAR · CAR 0–0 FUZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept

FUŽINAR

WWWDWL4–3 · 4–2 · 4–3 · 4–4 · 5–1 · 0–1

ČARDA MARTJANCI

WDWDWL7–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	10	+18	26
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	+6	19
4	Šmartno	10	+5	19
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Rače	10	+1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	−1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	−12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	−13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	−12	4