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Dobrovce v Korotan Prevalje

Dobrovce

1–0Full time

Korotan Prevalje

3. SNL - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Dobrovce 1–0 Korotan Prevalje KOROTAN PREVALJE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Korotan Prevalje win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.845

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Dobrovce win27%

Draw22%

Korotan Prevalje win51%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · korotan prevalje winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Korotan Prevalje a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dobrovce win	27%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Korotan Prevalje win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Dobrovce or draw	49%	–	–
Dobrovce clean sheet	14%	–	–
Korotan Prevalje clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.9 6.4 6.7 4.5 2.3 1 4.4 9.5 9.0 6.0 3.1 2 3.3 6.4 6.2 4.1 2.1 3 3.1 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dobrovce down, Korotan Prevalje across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 315 3. SNL - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.4% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dobrovce at home: 1.33 scored, 3.17 conceded a game (last 6). Korotan Prevalje away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Dobrovce, 2.02 for Korotan Prevalje. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~DOB 1–2 KOR · KOR 1–0 DOB · KOR 1–2 DOB · DOB 0–1 KOR

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East

DOBROVCE

LWLWLL1–5 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 3–4

KOROTAN PREVALJE

DDLDWD0–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 4–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	8	+13	20
2	Šmartno	8	+8	16
3	Fužinar	8	+7	16
4	NK Ormoz	8	+7	16
5	Podvinci	9	−2	14
6	Hajdina	9	+1	13
7	Čarda Martjanci	8	+5	12
8	Korotan Prevalje	8	+2	11
9	Videm	9	−4	11
10	Rače	8	0	9
11	Ljutomer	9	−2	8
12	Dobrovce	8	−12	6
13	Šampion Celje	8	−8	4
14	Limbuš Pekre	8	−15	4