Čarda Martjanci v Limbuš Pekre prediction · 3. SNL

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Čarda Martjanci 1–3 Limbuš Pekre ČARDA MARTJANCI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Čarda Martjanci win~~75%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.384

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Čarda Martjanci are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Čarda Martjanci 75%, draw 14%, Limbuš Pekre 11%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Čarda Martjanci v Limbuš PekreBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Čarda Martjanci win75%

Draw14%

Limbuš Pekre win11%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundEast · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Čarda Martjanci

Limbuš Pekre

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. SNL - East

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Čarda Martjanci	9	+7	15
13	Limbuš Pekre	9	−15	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · čarda martjanci winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make Čarda Martjanci a 75% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Čarda Martjanci v Limbuš Pekre~~3.10 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 15 v 5~~6 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Čarda Martjanci win	75%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Limbuš Pekre win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci or draw	89%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci clean sheet	33%	–	–
Limbuš Pekre clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%

0123450 1 4.7 5.5 2.9 2 7.2 7.8 4.3 3 7.2 7.7 4.3 4 5.5 5.9 3.3 5 3.4 3.7 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Čarda Martjanci down, Limbuš Pekre across0–5 goals a side shown (89.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 322 3. SNL - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.7% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Čarda Martjanci at home: 3.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Limbuš Pekre away: 0.00 scored, 4.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

3.10 goals for Čarda Martjanci, 1.12 for Limbuš Pekre. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 4 Sept

ČARDA MARTJANCI

DWDWDW1–1 · 7–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–0

LIMBUŠ PEKRE

LDLLLD0–4 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	9	+16	23
2	Fužinar	9	+11	19
3	Šmartno	9	+4	16
4	NK Ormoz	9	+4	16
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	9	+7	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Korotan Prevalje	9	+1	11
10	Rače	9	0	10
11	Dobrovce	9	−11	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	9	−15	5
14	Šampion Celje	9	−10	4