Čarda Martjanci v Dobrovce prediction · 3. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Čarda MartjanciDrawDobrovce

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Čarda Martjanci 79%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Čarda Martjanci are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Čarda Martjanci 79%, draw 12%, Dobrovce 10%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Čarda Martjanci v DobrovceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Čarda Martjanci win79%

Draw12%

Dobrovce win10%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundEast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Čarda Martjanci

Dobrovce

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovenian Cup

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. SNL - East

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15
11	Dobrovce	10	−12	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · čarda martjanci winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

79% The market–

Us79%

We make Čarda Martjanci a 79% chance to win. The model expects 3.5–1.2, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Čarda Martjanci v Dobrovce~~3.50 – 1.22

~~Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 15 v 9~~6 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Čarda Martjanci win	79%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Dobrovce win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	84%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	68%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci or draw	90%	–	–
Čarda Martjanci clean sheet	30%	–	–
Dobrovce clean sheet	3%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.5%

0123450 1 3.3 4.1 2.5 2 5.6 6.7 4.0 3 6.3 7.5 4.5 4 5.4 6.4 3.9 5 3.8 4.5 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Čarda Martjanci down, Dobrovce across0–5 goals a side shown (84.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 3. SNL - East matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. SNL - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Čarda Martjanci at home: 2.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Dobrovce away: 1.67 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.50 goals for Čarda Martjanci, 1.22 for Dobrovce. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~DOB 2–1 CAR · CAR 2–0 DOB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. SNL - East this season · since 12 Sept

ČARDA MARTJANCI

WDWDWL7–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 1–3

DOBROVCE

LWLLWL1–3 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 3–4 · 1–0 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Odranci	10	+18	26
2	Fužinar	10	+10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	+6	19
4	Šmartno	10	+5	19
5	Hajdina	10	+3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	+5	15
7	Videm	10	−2	14
8	Podvinci	10	−4	14
9	Rače	10	+1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	−1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	−12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	−4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	−13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	−12	4