Tabor Sežana v Slovan Ljubljana prediction · 2. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tabor SežanaDrawSlovan Ljubljana

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tabor Sežana 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tabor Sežana are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tabor Sežana 60%, draw 23%, Slovan Ljubljana 17%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Tabor Sežana v Slovan LjubljanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Tabor Sežana win60%

Draw23%

Slovan Ljubljana win17%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tabor Sežana

Slovan Ljubljana

4Days since last match10

Last match: 23 Oct · the Slovenian Cup

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. SNL

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tabor sežana winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Tabor Sežana a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tabor Sežana v Slovan Ljubljana~~1.89 – 0.90

~~Form · last six in 2. SNL this season · since 11 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 28 v 17~~1 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tabor Sežana win	60%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Slovan Ljubljana win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Tabor Sežana or draw	83%	–	–
Tabor Sežana clean sheet	41%	–	–
Slovan Ljubljana clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.0%

0123450 7.1 5.0 2.6 1 11.0 11.0 4.7 2 10.8 9.6 4.3 3 6.8 6.0 2.7 4 3.3 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tabor Sežana down, Slovan Ljubljana across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,288 2. SNL matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. SNL matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.4% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tabor Sežana at home: 1.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Ljubljana away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.89 goals for Tabor Sežana, 0.90 for Slovan Ljubljana. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SLO 5–1 TAB · TAB 1–0 SLO · TAB 1–2 SLO · SLO 0–2 TAB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. SNL this season · since 11 Sept

TABOR SEŽANA

WLWWWW5–1 · 1–5 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0

SLOVAN LJUBLJANA

DLWWDL0–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tabor Sežana	11	+15	28
2	Beltinci	11	+17	25
3	Triglav	11	+16	25
4	Rudar	11	+4	18
5	Bilje	11	−2	18
6	Jesenice	11	+3	17
7	Bistrica	11	−1	17
8	Slovan Ljubljana	11	−4	17
9	Ilirija	11	+5	16
10	Dekani	11	0	15
11	Dren Vrhnika	11	−4	14
12	Primorje	11	−6	10
13	Krško	11	−10	9
14	Dravinja	11	−14	8
15	Krka	11	−10	7
16	Brežice	11	−9	6