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Dekani v Dren Vrhnika
2. SNL · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dekani win at 40%.
- 13′Much as we predicted: Dekani was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–30–31
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 30' Dekani 1–0 Dren Vrhnika
- 34′Dekani find the net on 30′. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–20–8
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Dekani win: 40% at kick-off, 71% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Dekani 1–0 Dren Vrhnika
- 47′SECOND HALF Dekani 1–0 Dren Vrhnika
- FTFULL TIME Dekani 1–0 Dren Vrhnika
- FTDekani 1–0 Dren Vrhnika · Dekani win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 15:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dekani a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 43% to 51% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dekani win | 40% | 51% | −11 |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | +3 |
| Dren Vrhnika win | 31% | 23% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 49% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 71% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Dekani or draw | 69% | 77% | −8 |
| Dekani clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Dren Vrhnika clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in 2. SNL
DEKANI
DREN VRHNIKA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tabor Sežana | 10 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 |  Triglav | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Beltinci | 9 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Jesenice | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Slovan Ljubljana | 9 | −2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Rudar | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Bilje | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Dren Vrhnika | 9 | −2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Ilirija | 9 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Bistrica | 9 | −2 | 13 |
| 11 | Dekani | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  Primorje | 9 | −5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Krško | 9 | −7 | 9 |
| 14 |  Krka | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 15 |  Dravinja | 9 | −15 | 4 |
| 16 |  Brežice | 9 | −10 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.