Brežice v Krško

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brežice win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Brežice was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Brežice v Krško
4. 33′Krško score on 33′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–58
5. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Brežice 0–1 Krško
6. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Brežice win: 49% at kick-off, 17% now
7. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Krško win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Brežice win 17%)
8. 34′We said Brežice at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–25–58
9. 34′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 17–25–58
10. 35′Brežice find the net on 34′. 1–1. 1–1 · 42–34–24
11. 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Brežice 1–1 Krško
12. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Brežice win: 49% at kick-off, 42% now
13. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Brežice win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Krško win 24%)
14. 45′HALF-TIME Brežice 1–1 Krško
15. 46′SECOND HALF Brežice 1–1 Krško
16. 48′We said Brežice at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–40–22
17. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Brežice win 37%)
18. 56′We said Brežice at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–21
19. 64′We said Brežice at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
20. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Brežice win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
21. 71′We said Brežice at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–15
22. 73′A goal for Brežice on 72′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 86–13–1
23. 73′We published Brežice at 49%. Our model now makes it 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
24. 73′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 86–13–1
25. 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Brežice 2–1 Krško
26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Brežice win: 49% at kick-off, 86% now
27. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Brežice win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 13%)
28. 79′We published Brežice at 49%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
29. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Brežice win: 49% at kick-off, 90% now
30. 86′We published Brežice at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
31. FTFULL TIME Brežice 2–1 Krško
32. FTBrežice 2–1 Krško · Brežice win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.