Brinje-Grosuplje v Bravo prediction · 1. SNL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Brinje-GrosupljeDrawBravo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Bravo 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bravo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Brinje-Grosuplje 26%, draw 25%, Bravo 48%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Brinje-Grosuplje v BravoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Brinje-Grosuplje win26%

Draw25%

Bravo win48%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 16:30

RoundMatchday 13

VenueNogometni park Brinje

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Brinje-Grosuplje

Bravo

11Days since last match5

Last match: 18 Oct · 1. SNL

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovenian Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Bravo	12	+1	19
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	12	−10	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bravo winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

48% The market39%

Us48%

~~Market~~39%

We make Bravo a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Brinje-Grosuplje v Bravo~~1.19 – 1.71

~~Form · last six in 1. SNL this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 19~~8 v 3

~~The market · Bravo win~~39% · ours 48%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Bravo win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brinje-Grosuplje win	26%	34%	−8
Draw	25%	27%	−2
Bravo win	48%	39%	+9
Over 2.5 goals	55%	53%	+2
Both teams to score	57%	58%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	79%	75%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	33%	33%	0
Brinje-Grosuplje or draw	52%	61%	−9
Brinje-Grosuplje clean sheet	19%	–	–
Bravo clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.6 8.6 8.1 4.6 2.1 1 5.7 11.9 9.3 5.3 2.3 2 4.0 6.6 5.5 3.1 3 2.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Brinje-Grosuplje down, Bravo across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 948 1. SNL matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. SNL matches have gone over 2.5 in 49.2% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Brinje-Grosuplje at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bravo away: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Brinje-Grosuplje, 1.71 for Bravo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BRA 1–1 BRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. SNL this season · since 29 Aug

BRINJE-GROSUPLJE

WLLWLL4–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–5

BRAVO

WDWWLD2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maribor	12	+12	24
2	Koper	12	+8	22
3	Bravo	12	+1	19
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	12	+3	18
5	Nafta	12	+2	17
6	Celje	11	+1	16
7	Aluminij	12	+3	13
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	12	−10	11
9	Mura	12	−11	11
10	Radomlje	11	−9	7