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Model 1.2

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Bravo v Radomlje

Bravo
2–2Full time
Radomlje

1. SNL · SAT 17 OCT · Nogometni park Brinje

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Bravo 2–2 Radomlje BRAVO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Bravo win57%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.952
The market’s Brier score0.860

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay23 notes · 35 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bravo win at 57%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bravo 57% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–20
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Bravo v Radomlje
  4. 7′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–1 · 32–23–45
  5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Bravo 0–1 Radomlje
  6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 32% now
  7. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Radomlje win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Bravo win 32%)
  8. 8′A goal for Radomlje on 8′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 32–24–45
  9. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Bravo 1–1 Radomlje
  10. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 54% now
  11. 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Bravo win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Radomlje win 21%)
  12. 15′Bravo score on 15′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 54–26–21
  13. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Radomlje
  14. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
  15. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Bravo
  16. 43′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 1–1 · 45–35–20
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Bravo 1–1 Radomlje
  18. 45′SECOND HALF Bravo 1–1 Radomlje
  19. 46′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–36–20
  20. 48′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 43–37–20
  21. 50′15′: A. Jakupovic on the scoresheet for Bravo, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–38–19
  22. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Radomlje · On: D. Kantuzer · Off: A. Zabukovnik
  23. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Radomlje · On: J. Balic · Off: D. Mazreku
  24. 51′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 42–39–19
  25. 51′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 42–39–19
  26. 56′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–42–18
  27. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Bravo win 38%)
  28. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
  29. 64′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–17
  30. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Bravo · On: M. Tucic · Off: A. Jakupovic
  31. 70′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–15
  32. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Bravo
  33. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
  34. 73′We said Bravo at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
  35. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Bravo 2–1 Radomlje
  36. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 87% now
  37. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Bravo win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
  38. 74′Bravo find the net on 74′. 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
  39. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Radomlje · On: S. Bangura · Off: V. Pelko
  40. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Bravo · On: M. Malensek · Off: O. Mazie
  41. 78′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 2–2 · 20–69–11
  42. 78′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 20–69–11
  43. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Bravo 2–2 Radomlje
  44. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 20% now
  45. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Bravo win 20%)
  46. 79′A goal for Radomlje on 78′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 19–71–10
  47. 79′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–71–10
  48. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
  49. 83′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–80–7
  50. 87′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–86–5
  51. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Radomlje · On: A. Goljevscek · Off: N. Marinsek
  52. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Bravo
  53. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Bravo win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
  54. 92′We said Bravo at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
  55. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Bravo · On: A. Pecar · Off: J. Arinze
  56. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Radomlje · On: J. Jelen · Off: J. Martincic
  57. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Radomlje
  58. 94′2–2 at the end. Our 57% on Bravo misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
  59. FTFULL TIME Bravo 2–2 Radomlje
  60. FTBravo 2–2 Radomlje · Bravo win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bravo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bravo 57%, draw 23%, Radomlje 20%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Bravo v RadomljeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bravo win57%
Draw23%
Radomlje win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueNogometni park Brinje

RefereeM. Antic

Line-ups

Bravo

Radomlje

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bravo

Radomlje

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 1. SNL

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. SNL

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Bravo11+118
10Radomlje10−96

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Bravo

Formation not confirmed

77 M. Rozman

68 M. Nzuzi

4 J. Brunnhofer

21 L. Stravs

5 I. Halilou

24 G. Jovan

7 D. Omoregie

8 S. Nuhanovic

17 J. Arinze

11 O. Mazie

9 A. Jakupovic

Coach · Ales Arnol

Substitutes

22 · B. Maticic

95 · M. Fogec

2 · R. Parra

20 · N. Kouassi

35 · R. Kopatin

33 · M. Tucic

40 · M. Malensek

75 · A. Pecar

Radomlje

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Pridgar

87 B. Graonic

4 B. Anzelj

22 A. Paic

2 A. Bosec

41 M. Zaper

10 N. Marinsek

15 A. Zabukovnik

11 J. Martincic

72 D. Mazreku

9 V. Pelko

Coach · Radostin Aleksandrov

Substitutes

13 · N. Dermastija

73 · D. Churakov

40 · N. Skomina

14 · L. Veber

16 · D. Buvac

33 · T. Puc

66 · D. Kantuzer

8 · J. Jelen

23 · J. Balic

70 · A. Goljevscek

27 · S. Bangura

Our number · bravo winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
57% The market50%
Us57%
Market50%

We make Bravo a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bravo v Radomlje1.95 – 1.08
Form · last six in 1. SNL this season · since 16 AugW3 D1 L2 · W0 D2 L4
Table places · points 18 v 64 v 10
The market · Bravo win50% · ours 57%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 13:30
Our probability · Bravo win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bravo win57%50%+7
Draw23%26%−3
Radomlje win20%24%−4
Over 2.5 goals58%56%+2
Both teams to score57%58%−1
Over 1.5 goals81%79%+2
Over 3.5 goals36%35%+1
Bravo or draw80%76%+4
Bravo clean sheet34%––
Radomlje clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 5.7 4.6 2.9 1 8.8 10.8 5.5 2.0 2 9.1 9.7 5.3 3 5.9 6.3 3.4 4 2.9 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bravo down, Radomlje across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsRAD 1–2 BRA · BRA 2–1 RAD · RAD 1–3 BRA · BRA 0–4 RAD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. SNL this season · since 16 Aug

BRAVO

LWDWWL1–3 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

RADOMLJE

LDLLLD1–3 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 3–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Maribor11+1223
2Koper11+319
3Olimpija Ljubljana12+318
4Bravo11+118
5Nafta11+216
6Celje10+115
7Aluminij12+313
8Brinje-Grosuplje11−511
9Mura11−1110
10Radomlje10−96

The competition's standings before kick-off.