Žilina v Zemplín Michalovce prediction · Super Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ŽilinaDrawZemplín Michalovce

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Žilina 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Žilina are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Žilina 60%, draw 20%, Zemplín Michalovce 20%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Žilina v Zemplín MichalovceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Žilina win60%

Draw20%

Zemplín Michalovce win20%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Žilina

Zemplín Michalovce

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Žilina	11	+5	21
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	−8	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · žilina winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Žilina a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Žilina v Zemplín Michalovce~~2.19 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 30 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 21 v 14~~4 v 7

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Žilina win	60%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Zemplín Michalovce win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Žilina or draw	80%	–	–
Žilina clean sheet	31%	–	–
Zemplín Michalovce clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.5%

0123450 3.7 4.0 2.5 1 7.4 9.0 5.3 2.1 2 8.1 9.5 5.6 2.3 3 5.9 6.9 4.1 4 3.3 3.8 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Žilina down, Zemplín Michalovce across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,043 Super Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Žilina at home: 2.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Zemplín Michalovce away: 1.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.19 goals for Žilina, 1.19 for Zemplín Michalovce. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ZEM 0–1 ZIL · ZIL 3–2 ZEM · ZEM 2–1 ZIL · ZIL 2–0 ZEM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 30 Aug

ŽILINA

WWDWDL3–1 · 3–1 · 3–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–3

ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE

WLWLDL3–1 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dunajska Streda	11	+29	29
2	Spartak Trnava	12	+10	22
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	+14	21
4	Žilina	11	+5	21
5	Podbrezová	12	−3	17
6	FK Košice	10	+3	14
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	−8	14
8	Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	−10	14
9	Skalica	12	−10	10
10	Ružomberok	12	−14	9
11	AS Trencin	10	−9	8
12	Komárno	11	−7	6