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Zemplín Michalovce v FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
FK KošiceSuper Liga · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FK Košice win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: FK Košice 39% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–24–38
- 1′KICK-OFF Zemplín Michalovce v FK Košice
- 20′SUBSTITUTION · 20' FK Košice · On: D. Magda · Off: D. Kruzliak
- 22′🟥 RED CARD · 22' Zemplín Michalovce
- 23′Zemplín Michalovce are down to ten from 22′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 36–28–36
- 31′FK Košice ahead on 31′ through A. Maras. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–21–65
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 FK Košice · A. Maras (penalty)
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' FK Košice win: 39% at kick-off, 65% now
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' FK Košice win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Zemplín Michalovce win 14%)
- 32′We said FK Košice at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 0–1 · 13–21–66
- 33′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 13–21–66
- 35′E. Mashike scores for Zemplín Michalovce on 35′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–31–35
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 FK Košice · E. Mashike
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' FK Košice win: 39% at kick-off, 35% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 FK Košice
- 46′SECOND HALF Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 FK Košice
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was FK Košice win 32%)
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' D. Magda · FK Košice
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' FK Košice win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' FK Košice · On: M. Sovic · Off: D. Gallovic
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' FK Košice · On: M. Dimun · Off: K. Palumets
- 61′We said FK Košice at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–46–27
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Zemplín Michalovce · On: P. Danek · Off: M. Curma
- 68′We said FK Košice at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 23–53–24
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Zemplín Michalovce · On: T. Walczak · Off: E. Mashike
- 74′We said FK Košice at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–61–19
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' FK Košice win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 80′We said FK Košice at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' B. Cottrell · Zemplín Michalovce
- 84′We said FK Košice at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' FK Košice win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FK Košice · On: M. Mateas · Off: M. Rehus
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FK Košice · On: T. Seguchi · Off: O. Kakay
- 90′1–1 at the end. Our 39% on FK Košice misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Zemplín Michalovce · On: N. Mihhailov · Off: B. Cottrell
- 91′We said FK Košice at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 FK Košice
- FTZemplín Michalovce 1–1 FK Košice · FK Košice win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with FK Košice just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Zemplín Michalovce 38%, draw 24%, FK Košice 39%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Zemplín Michalovce win38%
FK Košice win39%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 11
RefereeB. Kiss
Match timeline
All events
Zemplín MichalovceMIN
FK KošiceEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Last match: 13 Oct · the Slovak Cup
Last match: 14 Oct · the Slovak Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Zemplín Michalovce
Formation not confirmed
16 A. Jakubech
27 M. Curma
25 L. Pauschek
26 T. Dzotsenidze
12 F. Bahi
8 T. Pilling
3 M. Koscelnik
80 B. Cottrell
70 R. Korba
20 L. Lemishko
99 E. Mashike
Coach · Anton Soltis
Substitutes
1 · P. Lukac
77 · Park Tae-rang
7 · K. Brosnan
4 · A. Zubairu
22 · P. Danek
13 · N. Mihhailov
9 · T. Walczak
18 · V. Theofanopoulos
11 · J. Lopez
FK Košice
Formation not confirmed
22 M. Kira
66 B. Damjanovic
26 S. Kosa
24 D. Kruzliak
29 O. Kakay
6 F. Lichy
8 D. Gallovic
23 M. Madlenak
80 K. Palumets
77 M. Rehus
99 A. Maras
Coach · Peter Cernak
Substitutes
33 · F. Kalanin
21 · D. Magda
47 · L. Lukacevic
10 · E. Julardzija
7 · M. Dimun
15 · M. Sovic
44 · M. Mateas
9 · T. Seguchi
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Zemplín Michalovce
Formation not confirmed
16 A. Jakubech
27 M. Curma
25 L. Pauschek
26 T. Dzotsenidze
12 F. Bahi
8 T. Pilling
3 M. Koscelnik
80 B. Cottrell
70 R. Korba
20 L. Lemishko
99 E. Mashike
Coach · Anton Soltis
Substitutes
1 · P. Lukac
77 · Park Tae-rang
7 · K. Brosnan
4 · A. Zubairu
22 · P. Danek
13 · N. Mihhailov
9 · T. Walczak
18 · V. Theofanopoulos
11 · J. Lopez
FK Košice
Formation not confirmed
22 M. Kira
66 B. Damjanovic
26 S. Kosa
24 D. Kruzliak
29 O. Kakay
6 F. Lichy
8 D. Gallovic
23 M. Madlenak
80 K. Palumets
77 M. Rehus
99 A. Maras
Coach · Peter Cernak
Substitutes
33 · F. Kalanin
21 · D. Magda
47 · L. Lukacevic
10 · E. Julardzija
7 · M. Dimun
15 · M. Sovic
44 · M. Mateas
9 · T. Seguchi
We make FK Košice a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zemplín Michalovce win | 38% | 30% | +8 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| FK Košice win | 39% | 45% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 64% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 65% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 83% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 43% | −4 |
| Zemplín Michalovce or draw | 61% | 55% | +6 |
| Zemplín Michalovce clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| FK Košice clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 Aug
ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE
FK KOŠICE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | +23 | 23 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Žilina | 10 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 10 | +14 | 20 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | −5 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 10 | −5 | 13 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | −11 | 10 |
| 9 | Ružomberok | 11 | −9 | 9 |
| 10 | Skalica | 11 | −10 | 9 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | −9 | 8 |
| 12 | Komárno | 11 | −7 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Žilina
Slovan Bratislava
Podbrezová
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Ružomberok
Skalica
AS Trencin
Komárno