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Zemplín Michalovce v Dunajska Streda

Zemplín Michalovce

0–3Full time

Dunajska Streda

Super Liga · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda DUNAJSKA STREDA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dunajska Streda win~~55%

~~The market said~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.303

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.265

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 48 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Dunajska Streda win at 55%.
1′KICK-OFF Zemplín Michalovce v Dunajska Streda
2′Little has changed for our model: Dunajska Streda 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 21–23–55
7′Little has changed for our model: Dunajska Streda 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 21–24–54
13′🟨 YELLOW · 15' L. Lemishko · Zemplín Michalovce
26′We said Dunajska Streda at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 0–1 · 6–15–79
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 Dunajska Streda
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Dunajska Streda win: 55% at kick-off, 79% now
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Dunajska Streda win: 55% at kick-off, 51% now
27′⚽ GOAL · 28' Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 Dunajska Streda · L. Pauschek
30′L. Pauschek scores for Dunajska Streda on 27′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–15–79
31′L. Pauschek scores for Dunajska Streda on 27′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–15–79
33′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 6–15–79
35′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 5–15–79
44′We said Dunajska Streda at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 5–16–80
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' K. Nemanic · Dunajska Streda
45′SECOND HALF Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 Dunajska Streda
45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Zemplín Michalovce · On: K. Brosnan · Off: L. Lemishko
45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Zemplín Michalovce · On: J. Lopez · Off: E. Mashike
46′We said Dunajska Streda at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 4–16–80
46′HALF-TIME Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 Dunajska Streda
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Dunajska Streda win: 55% at kick-off, 80% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Dunajska Streda win: 55% at kick-off, 80% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Dunajska Streda win: 55% at kick-off, 80% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Dunajska Streda win: 55% at kick-off, 80% now
55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' A. Ramadan · Dunajska Streda
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Zemplín Michalovce 0–2 Dunajska Streda · L. Pauschek
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Zemplín Michalovce 0–2 Dunajska Streda · S. Ouro
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · S. Ouro
64′⚽ GOAL · 65' Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · S. Ouro
67′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Zemplín Michalovce · On: V. Theofanopoulos · Off: P. Danek
69′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dunajska Streda · On: A. Sylla · Off: M. Trusa
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · S. Ouro
71′⚽ GOAL · 73' Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · A. Sylla
79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Dunajska Streda · On: F. Diongue · Off: J. Bationo
79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Dunajska Streda · On: U. Kabic · Off: P. Owusu
79′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Dunajska Streda · On: T. Kacharaba · Off: F. Blazek
79′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zemplín Michalovce · On: R. Korba · Off: B. Cottrell
84′🟨 YELLOW · 85' R. Korba · Zemplín Michalovce
87′🟨 YELLOW · 14' L. Lemishko · Zemplín Michalovce
87′⚽ GOAL · 27' Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · L. Pauschek
87′🟨 YELLOW · 44' K. Nemanic · Dunajska Streda
87′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Zemplín Michalovce · On: K. Brosnan · Off: L. Lemishko
87′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Zemplín Michalovce · On: J. Lopez · Off: E. Mashike
87′🟨 YELLOW · 55' A. Ramadan · Dunajska Streda
87′⚽ GOAL · 62' Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · S. Ouro (assist P. Owusu)
87′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Zemplín Michalovce · On: V. Theofanopoulos · Off: P. Danek
87′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dunajska Streda · On: A. Sylla · Off: M. Trusa
87′⚽ GOAL · 72' Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · A. Sylla
87′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Dunajska Streda · On: F. Diongue · Off: J. Bationo
87′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Dunajska Streda · On: U. Kabic · Off: P. Owusu
87′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Dunajska Streda · On: T. Kacharaba · Off: F. Blazek
87′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zemplín Michalovce · On: R. Korba · Off: B. Cottrell
87′🟨 YELLOW · 85' R. Korba · Zemplín Michalovce
87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Dunajska Streda · On: P. Safranko · Off: G. Gagua
91′PENALTY MISSED · 91' V. Theofanopoulos · Zemplín Michalovce
93′SUBSTITUTION · 95' Zemplín Michalovce · On: K. Taylor-Hart · Off: K. Brosnan Corrected
FTFULL TIME Zemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda
FTZemplín Michalovce 0–3 Dunajska Streda · Dunajska Streda win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Zemplín Michalovce win21%

Draw23%

Dunajska Streda win55%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Zemplín Michalovce

4-4-2

16 A. Jakubech

27 M. Curma

25 L. Pauschek

5 P. Volanakis

12 F. Bahi

3 M. Koscelnik

80 B. Cottrell

8 T. Pilling

20 L. Lemishko

22 P. Danek

99 E. Mashike

Coach · Anton Soltis

Substitutes

1 · P. Lukac

77 · Park Tae-rang

7 · K. Brosnan

70 · R. Korba

13 · N. Mihhailov

9 · T. Walczak

18 · V. Theofanopoulos

11 · J. Lopez

14 · K. Taylor-Hart

Dunajska Streda

4-2-3-1

1 Filipe

23 Z. Trontelj

26 F. Blazek

81 K. Nemanic

40 B. Csoka

44 S. Ouro

17 J. Bationo

30 P. Owusu

29 G. Gagua

10 A. Ramadan

46 M. Trusa

Coach · Robert Klauss

Substitutes

31 · A. Ivacic

18 · S. Jukleroed

33 · T. Kacharaba

38 · M. Jencus

27 · F. Diongue

16 · P. Safranko

9 · A. Gruber

7 · U. Kabic

19 · A. Sylla

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Zemplín Michalovce

4-4-2

16 A. Jakubech

27 M. Curma

25 L. Pauschek

5 P. Volanakis

12 F. Bahi

3 M. Koscelnik

80 B. Cottrell

8 T. Pilling

20 L. Lemishko

22 P. Danek

99 E. Mashike

Coach · Anton Soltis

Substitutes

1 · P. Lukac

77 · Park Tae-rang

7 · K. Brosnan

70 · R. Korba

13 · N. Mihhailov

9 · T. Walczak

18 · V. Theofanopoulos

11 · J. Lopez

14 · K. Taylor-Hart

Dunajska Streda

4-2-3-1

1 Filipe

23 Z. Trontelj

26 F. Blazek

81 K. Nemanic

40 B. Csoka

44 S. Ouro

17 J. Bationo

30 P. Owusu

29 G. Gagua

10 A. Ramadan

46 M. Trusa

Coach · Robert Klauss

Substitutes

31 · A. Ivacic

18 · S. Jukleroed

33 · T. Kacharaba

38 · M. Jencus

27 · F. Diongue

16 · P. Safranko

9 · A. Gruber

7 · U. Kabic

19 · A. Sylla

Our number · dunajska streda winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

55% The market58%

Us55%

~~Market~~58%

We make Dunajska Streda a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · dunajska streda win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 57% to 58% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zemplín Michalovce win	21%	20%	+2
Draw	23%	22%	+1
Dunajska Streda win	55%	58%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	54%	63%	−9
Both teams to score	53%	60%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	77%	82%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	31%	41%	−10
Zemplín Michalovce or draw	45%	42%	+3
Zemplín Michalovce clean sheet	17%	–	–
Dunajska Streda clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.3 10.5 9.5 5.7 2.6 1 5.9 11.0 9.6 5.8 2.6 2 3.2 5.6 4.9 3.0 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zemplín Michalovce down, Dunajska Streda across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,027 Super Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.3% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

13 previous meetings, 2.54 goals a meeting; 7 of 13 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zemplín Michalovce at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Dunajska Streda away: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.03 goals for Zemplín Michalovce, 1.80 for Dunajska Streda. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

13 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.54

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 13

~~Both scored~~6 of 13

~~Last meetings~~ZEM 2–1 DUN · DUN 3–0 ZEM · ZEM 2–4 DUN · DUN 1–1 ZEM

Form · last six in Super Liga

ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE

LWWWLW0–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 1–0

DUNAJSKA STREDA

WWWWWD3–0 · 5–0 · 6–1 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dunajska Streda	8	+20	20
2	Žilina	9	+6	20
3	Spartak Trnava	9	+11	18
4	Slovan Bratislava	8	+11	16
5	Podbrezová	9	−3	14
6	Zemplín Michalovce	9	−2	13
7	FK Košice	8	+3	12
8	Skalica	9	−8	8
9	Dukla Banská Bystrica	9	−12	7
10	Komárno	9	−6	5
11	AS Trencin	8	−10	5
12	Ružomberok	9	−10	5