Spartak Trnava v Komárno prediction · Super Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Spartak TrnavaDrawKomárno

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Spartak Trnava 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spartak Trnava are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Spartak Trnava 60%, draw 23%, Komárno 17%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Spartak Trnava v KomárnoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Spartak Trnava win60%

Draw23%

Komárno win17%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 13

VenueCity Arena Trnava

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Spartak Trnava

Komárno

7Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

Last match: 21 Oct · the Slovak Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Spartak Trnava	12	+10	22
12	Komárno	11	−7	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spartak trnava winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Spartak Trnava a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Spartak Trnava v Komárno~~1.77 – 0.80

~~Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W0 D4 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 6~~2 v 12

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spartak Trnava win	60%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Komárno win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Spartak Trnava or draw	83%	–	–
Spartak Trnava clean sheet	45%	–	–
Komárno clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%

0123450 8.1 6.0 2.5 1 13.4 10.9 4.3 2 11.9 9.4 3.7 3 7.1 5.5 2.2 4 3.2 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Spartak Trnava down, Komárno across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,043 Super Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Spartak Trnava at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Komárno away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Spartak Trnava, 0.80 for Komárno. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~KOM 1–2 SPA · SPA 2–0 KOM · KOM 1–4 SPA · KOM 1–2 SPA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 Aug

SPARTAK TRNAVA

DWDWLD1–1 · 5–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 1–1

KOMÁRNO

DDDLDL2–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dunajska Streda	11	+29	29
2	Spartak Trnava	12	+10	22
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	+14	21
4	Žilina	11	+5	21
5	Podbrezová	12	−3	17
6	FK Košice	10	+3	14
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	−8	14
8	Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	−10	14
9	Skalica	12	−10	10
10	Ružomberok	12	−14	9
11	AS Trencin	10	−9	8
12	Komárno	11	−7	6