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Skalica v Spartak Trnava
Skalica
Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Spartak Trnava win at 52%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Spartak Trnava 52% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 23–26–51
- 2′KICK-OFF Skalica v Spartak Trnava
- 6′5′: T. Wildeboer on the scoresheet for Spartak Trnava, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–15–77
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 5' Skalica 0–1 Spartak Trnava · T. Wildeboer
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Spartak Trnava win: 52% at kick-off, 77% now
- 7′We said Spartak Trnava at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 0–1 · 8–15–77
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 6–16–78
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' M. Masik · Skalica
- 45′We said Spartak Trnava at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 4–16–80
- 45′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 20–40–40
- 45′HALF-TIME Skalica 1–1 Spartak Trnava
- 46′SECOND HALF Skalica 1–1 Spartak Trnava
- 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' P. Nwadike · Spartak Trnava
- 50′Skalica level it on 45′ through O. Podhorin. 1–1. 1–1 · 20–43–38
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 45+5' Skalica 1–1 Spartak Trnava · O. Podhorin (penalty)
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Spartak Trnava win: 52% at kick-off, 38% now
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Spartak Trnava win 80%)
- 51′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 19–43–37
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' O. Podhorin · Skalica
- 57′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 18–48–34
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' E. Daniel · Skalica
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Spartak Trnava win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Spartak Trnava · On: L. Mehmeti · Off: P. Azango
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Spartak Trnava · On: D. Bukovsky · Off: L. Khorkheli
- 65′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 16–55–29
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Skalica · On: P. Pudhorocky · Off: M. Ryzek
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Skalica · On: P. Onyedika · Off: M. Masik
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' F. Trello · Spartak Trnava
- 71′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 14–62–24
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Skalica · On: A. Abdullahi · Off: L. Simko
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Spartak Trnava win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
- 76′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 11–70–19
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Spartak Trnava · On: S. Skrbo · Off: F. Trello
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Skalica · On: A. Ravas · Off: D. Baris
- 81′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 8–79–13
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Spartak Trnava win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
- 84′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 6–85–9
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' A. Abdullahi · Skalica
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Spartak Trnava · On: L. Holik · Off: L. Fabis
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Spartak Trnava · On: R. Prochazka · Off: G. Moistsrapishvili
- 91′We said Spartak Trnava at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' L. Holik · Spartak Trnava
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' A. Morong · Skalica
- FTFULL TIME Skalica 1–1 Spartak Trnava
- FTSkalica 1–1 Spartak Trnava · Spartak Trnava win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Spartak Trnava are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Skalica 23%, draw 25%, Spartak Trnava 52%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Skalica win23%
Spartak Trnava win52%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 12
RefereeM. Choren
Match timeline
All events
SkalicaMIN
Spartak TrnavaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Skalica
Spartak Trnava
Last match: 20 Oct · the Slovak Cup
Last match: 17 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Spartak Trnava a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skalica win | 23% | 23% | 0 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Spartak Trnava win | 52% | 51% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 72% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Skalica or draw | 48% | 49% | −1 |
| Skalica clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Spartak Trnava clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 30 Aug
SKALICA
SPARTAK TRNAVA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 10 | +24 | 26 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Žilina | 11 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 10 | +14 | 20 |
| 5 | FK Košice | 10 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Zemplín Michalovce | 11 | −5 | 14 |
| 7 | Podbrezová | 11 | −6 | 14 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 11 | −10 | 13 |
| 9 | Ružomberok | 11 | −9 | 9 |
| 10 | Skalica | 11 | −10 | 9 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | −9 | 8 |
| 12 | Komárno | 11 | −7 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dunajska Streda
Žilina
Slovan Bratislava
FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
Podbrezová
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Ružomberok
AS Trencin
Komárno