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Podbrezová v Spartak Trnava

Podbrezová
1–3Full time
Spartak Trnava

Super Liga · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Podbrezová 1–3 Spartak Trnava SPARTAK TRNAVA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Spartak Trnava win44%
The market said34%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.467
The market’s Brier score0.666

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay20 notes · 47 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Spartak Trnava win at 44%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Spartak Trnava 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Spartak Trnava 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
  4. 19′Spartak Trnava ahead on 18′ through T. Kudlicka. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–70
  5. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 70% now
  6. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 42% now
  7. 20′Spartak Trnava ahead on 18′ through T. Kudlicka. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–70
  8. 21′We said Spartak Trnava at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
  9. 23′We said Spartak Trnava at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–71
  11. 32′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 9–19–71
  12. 34′T. Kudlicka scores for Spartak Trnava on 35′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
  13. 34′⚽ GOAL · 35' Podbrezová 0–2 Spartak Trnava · T. Kudlicka
  14. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 91% now
  15. 35′T. Kudlicka scores for Spartak Trnava on 35′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
  16. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 71% now
  17. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 91% now
  18. 38′We said Spartak Trnava at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 0–2 · 2–7–92
  19. 39′We said Spartak Trnava at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 0–2 · 2–6–92
  20. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 40' M. Lausic · Spartak Trnava
  21. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 40' M. Khyminets · Podbrezová
  22. 45′SECOND HALF Podbrezová 0–2 Spartak Trnava
  23. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Spartak Trnava · On: P. Nwadike · Off: E. Sabo
  24. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Podbrezová · On: V. Chyla · Off: J. Krivak
  25. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
  26. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 93% now
  27. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 93% now
  28. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
  29. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
  30. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 93% now
  31. 55′We said Spartak Trnava at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
  32. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
  33. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 93% now
  34. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Spartak Trnava win: 44% at kick-off, 95% now
  35. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 59' S. Stefanik · Podbrezová
  36. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Podbrezová · On: B. Mrvaljevic · Off: F. Momoh
  37. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Podbrezová · On: K. Miljanic · Off: S. Stefanik
  38. 65′⚽ GOAL · 18' Podbrezová 0–2 Spartak Trnava · T. Kudlicka (assist G. Moistsrapishvili)
  39. 65′⚽ GOAL · 35' Podbrezová 0–2 Spartak Trnava · T. Kudlicka (assist L. Khorkheli)
  40. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 40' M. Lausic · Spartak Trnava
  41. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 40' M. Khyminets · Podbrezová
  42. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Spartak Trnava · On: P. Nwadike · Off: E. Sabo
  43. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Podbrezová · On: V. Chyla · Off: J. Krivak
  44. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 59' S. Stefanik · Podbrezová
  45. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Podbrezová · On: B. Mrvaljevic · Off: F. Momoh
  46. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Podbrezová · On: K. Miljanic · Off: S. Stefanik
  47. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' K. Kostrna · Spartak Trnava
  48. 71′72′ and it is 0–3: P. Azango on the scoresheet for Spartak Trnava. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  49. 71′⚽ GOAL · 72' Podbrezová 0–2 Spartak Trnava · P. Azango
  50. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Podbrezová 0–3 Spartak Trnava · P. Azango
  51. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Spartak Trnava · On: D. Poltak · Off: T. Kudlicka
  52. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Spartak Trnava · On: L. Holik · Off: K. Kostrna
  53. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Podbrezová · On: L. Silagadze · Off: O. Deml
  54. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Podbrezová · On: M. Rusnak · Off: M. Khyminets
  55. 75′We said Spartak Trnava at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  56. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Spartak Trnava · On: R. Begala · Off: G. Moistsrapishvili
  57. 78′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  58. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' V. Chyla · Podbrezová
  59. 85′72′ and it is 0–3: P. Azango on the scoresheet for Spartak Trnava. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  60. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Spartak Trnava · On: R. Prochazka · Off: M. Lausic
  61. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Podbrezová 1–3 Spartak Trnava · P. Azango
  62. 87′⚽ GOAL · 88' Podbrezová 1–3 Spartak Trnava · M. Chrien
  63. 88′Podbrezová ahead on 88′ through M. Chrien. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  64. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 90' J. Carrion · Spartak Trnava
  65. 91′We said Spartak Trnava at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  66. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 92' P. Kovacik · Podbrezová
  67. 94′Podbrezová ahead on 88′ through M. Chrien. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  68. FTFULL TIME Podbrezová 1–3 Spartak Trnava
  69. FTPodbrezová 1–3 Spartak Trnava · Spartak Trnava win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Podbrezová win31%
Draw25%
Spartak Trnava win44%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:00

RefereeJ. Sucka

Line-ups

Podbrezová

3-4-3

Spartak Trnava

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Podbrezová

Spartak Trnava

21Days since last match21
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Spartak Trnava9+1118
5Podbrezová9−314

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Podbrezová

3-4-3

70 L. Domanisky

37 J. Luka

20 J. Krivak

5 R. Lampreht

77 P. Kovacik

26 S. Stefanik

15 R. Paraj

8 O. Deml

14 M. Khyminets

9 M. Chrien

22 F. Momoh

Coach · Stefan Markulik

Substitutes

41 · I. Rehak

25 · R. Kejval

19 · S. Saidy

66 · M. Rusnak

13 · V. Chyla

11 · B. Mrvaljevic

7 · L. Silagadze

27 · K. Miljanic

Spartak Trnava

4-2-3-1

72 M. Vantruba

24 K. Kostrna

52 E. Sabo

13 M. Ujlaky

3 J. Carrion

8 G. Moistsrapishvili

91 M. Lausic

11 P. Azango

30 L. Khorkheli

20 F. Trello

19 T. Kudlicka

Coach · Antonio Munoz

Substitutes

40 · T. Jablonicky

21 · L. Fabis

4 · L. Holik

2 · P. Nwadike

6 · R. Prochazka

5 · R. Begala

22 · D. Bukovsky

97 · D. Poltak

17 · L. Mehmeti

Our number · spartak trnava winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
44% The market34%
Us44%
Market34%

We make Spartak Trnava a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:2011 OCT 14:43
Our probability · spartak trnava win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 31% to 34% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Podbrezová win31%40%−9
Draw25%26%−1
Spartak Trnava win44%34%+10
Over 2.5 goals55%59%−3
Both teams to score58%62%−4
Over 1.5 goals79%79%−1
Over 3.5 goals33%38%−4
Podbrezová or draw56%66%−10
Podbrezová clean sheet20%––
Spartak Trnava clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%
0123450 5.9 8.6 7.0 3.8 1 6.9 11.5 9.0 4.8 2 4.6 7.3 5.8 3.1 3 2.0 3.2 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Podbrezová down, Spartak Trnava across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

16 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting3.56
Over 2.512 of 16
Both scored9 of 16
Last meetingsPOD 0–3 SPA · SPA 4–1 POD · SPA 0–5 POD · POD 1–3 SPA

Form · last six in Super Liga

PODBREZOVÁ

WLDLDW2–1 · 0–5 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–0

SPARTAK TRNAVA

WWLDWD2–0 · 4–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 5–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dunajska Streda9+2323
2Žilina9+620
3Spartak Trnava9+1118
4Slovan Bratislava9+1117
5Podbrezová9−314
6FK Košice9+313
7Zemplín Michalovce10−513
8Dukla Banská Bystrica10−1110
9Skalica10−89
10Komárno10−66
11Ružomberok9−105
12AS Trencin9−115

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.