Podbrezová v Slovan Bratislava prediction · Super Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PodbrezováDrawSlovan Bratislava

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Slovan Bratislava 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slovan Bratislava are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Podbrezová 25%, draw 21%, Slovan Bratislava 54%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Podbrezová v Slovan BratislavaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Podbrezová win25%

Draw21%

Slovan Bratislava win54%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Podbrezová

Slovan Bratislava

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	+14	21
5	Podbrezová	12	−3	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slovan bratislava winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Slovan Bratislava a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Podbrezová v Slovan Bratislava~~1.34 – 2.07

~~Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 21~~5 v 3

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Podbrezová win	25%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Slovan Bratislava win	54%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Podbrezová or draw	46%	–	–
Podbrezová clean sheet	13%	–	–
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.3%

0123450 3.6 6.7 7.0 4.8 2.5 1 4.4 9.3 9.3 6.4 3.3 2 3.0 6.1 6.2 4.3 2.2 3 2.8 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Podbrezová down, Slovan Bratislava across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,043 Super Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.30 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Podbrezová at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Bratislava away: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Podbrezová, 2.07 for Slovan Bratislava. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.30

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SLO 3–0 POD · POD 1–2 SLO · SLO 2–0 POD · POD 1–3 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 5 Sept

PODBREZOVÁ

LDWLLW1–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 4–1

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA

LDWDWD0–2 · 3–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dunajska Streda	11	+29	29
2	Spartak Trnava	12	+10	22
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	+14	21
4	Žilina	11	+5	21
5	Podbrezová	12	−3	17
6	FK Košice	10	+3	14
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	−8	14
8	Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	−10	14
9	Skalica	12	−10	10
10	Ružomberok	12	−14	9
11	AS Trencin	10	−9	8
12	Komárno	11	−7	6