FK Košice v Dunajska Streda prediction · Super Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FK KošiceDrawDunajska Streda

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dunajska Streda 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dunajska Streda are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FK Košice 22%, draw 21%, Dunajska Streda 56%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on FK Košice v Dunajska StredaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

FK Košice win22%

Draw21%

Dunajska Streda win56%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FK Košice

Dunajska Streda

10Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dunajska streda winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:23 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Dunajska Streda a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FK Košice v Dunajska Streda~~1.24 – 2.07

~~Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 29~~6 v 1

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dunajska Streda win

Published at 55%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FK Košice win	22%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Dunajska Streda win	56%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
FK Košice or draw	44%	–	–
FK Košice clean sheet	13%	–	–
Dunajska Streda clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.5%

0123450 4.0 7.5 7.8 5.4 2.8 1 4.5 9.5 9.5 6.5 3.4 2 2.9 5.8 5.9 4.0 2.1 3 2.4 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FK Košice down, Dunajska Streda across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,043 Super Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.11 goals a meeting; 8 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FK Košice at home: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dunajska Streda away: 3.33 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for FK Košice, 2.07 for Dunajska Streda. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.11

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 9

~~Both scored~~6 of 9

~~Last meetings~~FKK 4–0 DUN · DUN 3–1 FKK · FKK 0–2 DUN · DUN 3–2 FKK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 Aug

FK KOŠICE

DWLWDD2–2 · 3–0 · 2–5 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

DUNAJSKA STREDA

WWDWWW2–0 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dunajska Streda	11	+29	29
2	Spartak Trnava	12	+10	22
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	+14	21
4	Žilina	11	+5	21
5	Podbrezová	12	−3	17
6	FK Košice	10	+3	14
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	−8	14
8	Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	−10	14
9	Skalica	12	−10	10
10	Ružomberok	12	−14	9
11	AS Trencin	10	−9	8
12	Komárno	11	−7	6