Home › Football › Super Liga › Dukla Banská Bystrica v Podbrezová
Back

Dukla Banská Bystrica v Podbrezová
Dukla Banská Bystrica
PodbrezováSuper Liga · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Podbrezová win at 46%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Podbrezová 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 31–23–46
- 1′KICK-OFF Dukla Banská Bystrica v Podbrezová
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' B. Mrvaljevic · Podbrezová
- 45′HALF-TIME Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–0 Podbrezová
- 45′SECOND HALF Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–0 Podbrezová
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Podbrezová · On: F. Momoh · Off: K. Miljanic
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Podbrezová · On: M. Khyminets · Off: B. Mrvaljevic
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Podbrezová win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Podbrezová win 35%)
- 55′We said Podbrezová at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 25–40–34
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–40–34
- 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' S. Stefanik · Podbrezová
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Podbrezová · On: R. Paraj · Off: O. Deml
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' R. Kejval · Podbrezová
- 65′We said Podbrezová at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 22–49–29
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Podbrezová win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dukla Banská Bystrica · On: A. Hanes · Off: E. Arevalo
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dukla Banská Bystrica · On: T. Slebodnik · Off: J. Povazanec
- 72′We said Podbrezová at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 19–57–24
- 73′We said Podbrezová at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 0–1 · 2–16–82
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–1 Podbrezová
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Podbrezová win: 46% at kick-off, 82% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Podbrezová win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
- 74′F. Momoh scores for Podbrezová on 74′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 2–15–83
- 76′GOAL DISALLOWED · 74' F. Momoh · Podbrezová
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Podbrezová win: 46% at kick-off, 20% now
- 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Podbrezová win 20%)
- 77′We said Podbrezová at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–66–19
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Dukla Banská Bystrica · On: Joao Miranda · Off: L. Willweber
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Podbrezová · On: L. Silagadze · Off: S. Stefanik
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Podbrezová win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 82′We said Podbrezová at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 10–76–13
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dukla Banská Bystrica · On: K. Vallo · Off: R. Polievka
- 86′We said Podbrezová at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dukla Banská Bystrica · On: V. Toth · Off: M. Gjorgievski
- 89′We said Podbrezová at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–0 · 93–6–0
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Podbrezová · On: S. Tijani · Off: V. Chyla
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–0 Podbrezová
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Podbrezová win: 46% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Dukla Banská Bystrica win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 6%)
- 90′M. Bakala scores for Dukla Banská Bystrica on 90′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 94–5–0
- 95′1–0 at the end. Our 46% on Podbrezová misses, and the record keeps it. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–0 Podbrezová
- FTDukla Banská Bystrica 1–0 Podbrezová · Podbrezová win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Podbrezová are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dukla Banská Bystrica 31%, draw 23%, Podbrezová 46%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Dukla Banská Bystrica win31%
Podbrezová win46%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 11
RefereeA. Fusek
Match timeline
All events
Dukla Banská BystricaMIN
PodbrezováEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Podbrezová
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Podbrezová
Last match: 14 Oct · the Slovak Cup
Last match: 11 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Formation not confirmed
31 L. Hrosso
42 Maik
23 M. Bakala
41 L. Willweber
13 N. Sikula
7 J. Povazanec
6 D. Richtarech
29 E. Arevalo
28 M. Gjorgievski
17 R. Polievka
57 M. Duris
Coach · Daniel Valach
Substitutes
1 · J. Trefil
11 · K. Vallo
3 · A. Adewale
14 · Joao Miranda
24 · V. Toth
9 · T. Slebodnik
73 · A. Hanes
25 · E. Okechukwu
Podbrezová
Formation not confirmed
70 L. Domanisky
5 R. Lampreht
37 J. Luka
25 R. Kejval
77 P. Kovacik
26 S. Stefanik
13 V. Chyla
8 O. Deml
11 B. Mrvaljevic
9 M. Chrien
27 K. Miljanic
Coach · Stefan Markulik
Substitutes
41 · I. Rehak
19 · S. Saidy
15 · R. Paraj
66 · M. Rusnak
6 · S. Tijani
14 · M. Khyminets
7 · L. Silagadze
22 · F. Momoh
17 · A. Amoafo
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Formation not confirmed
31 L. Hrosso
42 Maik
23 M. Bakala
41 L. Willweber
13 N. Sikula
7 J. Povazanec
6 D. Richtarech
29 E. Arevalo
28 M. Gjorgievski
17 R. Polievka
57 M. Duris
Coach · Daniel Valach
Substitutes
1 · J. Trefil
11 · K. Vallo
3 · A. Adewale
14 · Joao Miranda
24 · V. Toth
9 · T. Slebodnik
73 · A. Hanes
25 · E. Okechukwu
Podbrezová
Formation not confirmed
70 L. Domanisky
5 R. Lampreht
37 J. Luka
25 R. Kejval
77 P. Kovacik
26 S. Stefanik
13 V. Chyla
8 O. Deml
11 B. Mrvaljevic
9 M. Chrien
27 K. Miljanic
Coach · Stefan Markulik
Substitutes
41 · I. Rehak
19 · S. Saidy
15 · R. Paraj
66 · M. Rusnak
6 · S. Tijani
14 · M. Khyminets
7 · L. Silagadze
22 · F. Momoh
17 · A. Amoafo
We make Podbrezová a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Banská Bystrica win | 31% | 28% | +3 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Podbrezová win | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 59% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 61% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 80% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 38% | +4 |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
| Podbrezová clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 Aug
DUKLA BANSKÁ BYSTRICA
PODBREZOVÁ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | +23 | 23 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Žilina | 10 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 10 | +14 | 20 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | −5 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 10 | −5 | 13 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | −11 | 10 |
| 9 | Ružomberok | 11 | −9 | 9 |
| 10 | Skalica | 11 | −10 | 9 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | −9 | 8 |
| 12 | Komárno | 11 | −7 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Žilina
Slovan Bratislava
FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
Ružomberok
Skalica
AS Trencin
Komárno