AS Trencin v Slovan Bratislava prediction · Super Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AS TrencinDrawSlovan Bratislava

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Slovan Bratislava 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slovan Bratislava are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AS Trencin 17%, draw 20%, Slovan Bratislava 63%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on AS Trencin v Slovan BratislavaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

AS Trencin win17%

Draw20%

Slovan Bratislava win63%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AS Trencin

Slovan Bratislava

11Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	+14	21
11	AS Trencin	10	−9	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slovan bratislava winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:23 · locked at kick-off

63% The market66%

Us63%

~~Market~~66%

We make Slovan Bratislava a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · AS Trencin v Slovan Bratislava~~1.07 – 2.23

~~Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 21~~11 v 3

~~The market · Slovan Bratislava win~~66% · ours 63%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Slovan Bratislava win The market, margin stripped

Published at 64%, 63% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AS Trencin win	17%	15%	+2
Draw	20%	19%	+1
Slovan Bratislava win	63%	66%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
AS Trencin or draw	37%	34%	+3
AS Trencin clean sheet	11%	–	–
Slovan Bratislava clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.6%

0123450 4.0 8.1 9.1 6.7 3.8 1 3.9 8.9 9.6 7.1 4.0 2 2.2 4.7 5.1 3.8 2.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AS Trencin down, Slovan Bratislava across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,043 Super Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AS Trencin at home: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Bratislava away: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for AS Trencin, 2.23 for Slovan Bratislava. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SLO 0–2 AST · AST 1–2 SLO · AST 1–1 SLO · SLO 3–1 AST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 Aug

AS TRENCIN

WLLLLW2–1 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–0

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA

LDWDWD0–2 · 3–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dunajska Streda	11	+29	29
2	Spartak Trnava	12	+10	22
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	+14	21
4	Žilina	11	+5	21
5	Podbrezová	12	−3	17
6	FK Košice	10	+3	14
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	−8	14
8	Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	−10	14
9	Skalica	12	−10	10
10	Ružomberok	12	−14	9
11	AS Trencin	10	−9	8
12	Komárno	11	−7	6