Z. Moravce-Vrable W v Spartak Myjava W prediction · I Liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 19:40

Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–5 Spartak Myjava W SPARTAK MYJAVA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–4 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Spartak Myjava W win~~89%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.018

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Spartak Myjava W win at 89%.
3′Much as we predicted: Spartak Myjava W was 89% before kick-off and our model makes it 89% now. 0–0 · 5–7–89
3′KICK-OFF Z. Moravce-Vrable W v Spartak Myjava W
29′Spartak Myjava W score on 29′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 2–5–93
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–1 Spartak Myjava W
40′Spartak Myjava W find the net on 40′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–98
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–2 Spartak Myjava W
42′A goal for Spartak Myjava W on 42′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
42′Goals are coming at about the 5.9 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–3 Spartak Myjava W
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Spartak Myjava W win: 89% at kick-off, over 99% now
45′HALF-TIME Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–3 Spartak Myjava W
47′SECOND HALF Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–3 Spartak Myjava W
70′Spartak Myjava W score on 70′ to make it 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–4 Spartak Myjava W
75′Spartak Myjava W find the net on 74′. 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–5 Spartak Myjava W
FTFULL TIME Z. Moravce-Vrable W 0–5 Spartak Myjava W
FTZ. Moravce-Vrable W 0–5 Spartak Myjava W · Spartak Myjava W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–4 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spartak Myjava W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Z. Moravce-Vrable W 5%, draw 6%, Spartak Myjava W 89%. Over 2.5 goals 91%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Z. Moravce-Vrable W v Spartak Myjava WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Z. Moravce-Vrable W win5%

Draw6%

Spartak Myjava W win89%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Z. Moravce-Vrable W

Spartak Myjava W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · I Liga - Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spartak myjava w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

89% The market–

Us89%

We make Spartak Myjava W an 89% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–4.8, and 1–4 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Z. Moravce-Vrable W v Spartak Myjava W~~1.12 – 4.82

~~Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 22 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 15 v 21~~3 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Z. Moravce-Vrable W win	5%	–	–
Draw	6%	–	–
Spartak Myjava W win	89%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	91%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	97%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	81%	–	–
Z. Moravce-Vrable W or draw	11%	–	–
Z. Moravce-Vrable W clean sheet	1%	–	–
Spartak Myjava W clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–4 at 5.9%

0123450 3.7 5.2 5.7 5.21 3.8 5.4 5.9 5.32 2.2 3.1 3.4 3.03 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Z. Moravce-Vrable W down, Spartak Myjava W across0–5 goals a side shown (65.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 687 I Liga - Women matches up to 3 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: I Liga - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 82.1% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Z. Moravce-Vrable W at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Spartak Myjava W away: 5.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Z. Moravce-Vrable W, 4.82 for Spartak Myjava W. Most likely score 1–4.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 22 Aug

Z. MORAVCE-VRABLE W

LWWWWW0–4 · 3–1 · 6–2 · 2–1 · 5–3 · 5–1

SPARTAK MYJAVA W

WWWWWW5–1 · 7–1 · 11–1 · 4–1 · 8–0 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	7	+48	21
2	Slovan Bratislava W	8	+34	21
3	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	8	+6	15
4	Trenčín W	7	+8	13
5	Tatran Prešov W	8	0	13
6	Komárno W	9	−11	11
7	Spartak Trnava W	8	−12	10
8	Ružomberok W	8	−15	6
9	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	8	−23	4
10	Petržalka W	9	−35	3