Trenčín W v Spartak Myjava W prediction · I Liga

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 16:31

Trenčín W 0–4 Spartak Myjava W SPARTAK MYJAVA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–4 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Spartak Myjava W win~~93%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.007

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Spartak Myjava W win at 93%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Spartak Myjava W 93% before kick-off, 93% now. 0–0 · 2–4–93
2′KICK-OFF Trenčín W v Spartak Myjava W
16′Spartak Myjava W find the net on 16′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–2–97
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Trenčín W 0–1 Spartak Myjava W
39′A goal for Spartak Myjava W on 36′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
39′⚽ GOAL · 36' Trenčín W 0–2 Spartak Myjava W
43′Spartak Myjava W score on 42′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Trenčín W 0–3 Spartak Myjava W
44′The goal count is tracking the 5.8 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
45′HALF-TIME Trenčín W 0–3 Spartak Myjava W
46′SECOND HALF Trenčín W 0–3 Spartak Myjava W
70′Spartak Myjava W find the net on 70′. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Trenčín W 0–4 Spartak Myjava W
FTFULL TIME Trenčín W 0–4 Spartak Myjava W
FTTrenčín W 0–4 Spartak Myjava W · Spartak Myjava W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–4 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spartak Myjava W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trenčín W 2%, draw 4%, Spartak Myjava W 93%. Over 2.5 goals 91%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Trenčín W v Spartak Myjava WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Trenčín W win2%

Draw4%

Spartak Myjava W win93%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trenčín W

Spartak Myjava W

4Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · I Liga - Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spartak myjava w winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

93% The market–

Us93%

We make Spartak Myjava W a 93% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–4.9, and 0–4 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Trenčín W v Spartak Myjava W~~0.81 – 4.95

~~Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 16 v 24~~3 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Trenčín W win	2%	–	–
Draw	4%	–	–
Spartak Myjava W win	93%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	91%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	97%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	80%	–	–
Trenčín W or draw	7%	–	–
Trenčín W clean sheet	1%	–	–
Spartak Myjava W clean sheet	46%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–4 at 7.6%

0123450 2.2 4.5 6.6 7.6 7.21 3.4 5.1 5.8 5.52 2.1 2.5 2.33 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Trenčín W down, Spartak Myjava W across0–5 goals a side shown (63.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 692 I Liga - Women matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: I Liga - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 81.8% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 8.70 goals a meeting; 10 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Trenčín W at home: 3.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Spartak Myjava W away: 5.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.81 goals for Trenčín W, 4.95 for Spartak Myjava W. Most likely score 0–4.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~8.70

~~Over 2.5~~10 of 10

~~Both scored~~2 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SPA 7–0 TRE · TRE 1–4 SPA · SPA 8–0 TRE · TRE 0–9 SPA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 29 Aug

TRENČÍN W

WDWLLW2–1 · 2–2 · 5–1 · 1–2 · 0–8 · 3–1

SPARTAK MYJAVA W

WWWWWW7–1 · 11–1 · 4–1 · 8–0 · 6–0 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	8	+53	24
2	Slovan Bratislava W	9	+37	24
3	Trenčín W	8	+10	16
4	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	9	+1	15
5	Tatran Prešov W	9	−2	13
6	Komárno W	9	−11	11
7	Spartak Trnava W	9	−15	10
8	Ružomberok W	9	−13	9
9	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	9	−25	4
10	Petržalka W	9	−35	3