Trenčín W v Petržalka W prediction · I Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Trenčín WDrawPetržalka W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Trenčín W 78%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Trenčín W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trenčín W 78%, draw 11%, Petržalka W 11%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Trenčín W v Petržalka WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Trenčín W win78%

Draw11%

Petržalka W win11%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trenčín W

Petržalka W

3Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · I Liga - Women

Last match: 17 Oct · I Liga - Women

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Trenčín W	9	+6	16
10	Petržalka W	9	−35	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · trenčín w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

78% The market–

Us78%

We make Trenčín W a 78% chance to win. The model expects 4.1–1.3, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Trenčín W v Petržalka W~~4.10 – 1.32

~~Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 16 v 3~~3 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Trenčín W win	78%	–	–
Draw	11%	–	–
Petržalka W win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	86%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	73%	–	–
Trenčín W or draw	89%	–	–
Trenčín W clean sheet	28%	–	–
Petržalka W clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 6.0%

0123450 1 2.9 3.4 2.5 2 4.3 5.6 3.8 3 4.8 6.0 4.0 4 4.3 5.2 3.4 5 3.4 4.0 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Trenčín W down, Petržalka W across0–5 goals a side shown (74.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 693 I Liga - Women matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: I Liga - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 82.2% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.10 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Trenčín W at home: 3.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Petržalka W away: 0.67 scored, 5.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.10 goals for Trenčín W, 1.32 for Petržalka W. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.10

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PET 1–6 TRE · TRE 5–0 PET · PET 2–0 TRE · TRE 1–3 PET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 5 Sept

TRENČÍN W

DWLLWL2–2 · 5–1 · 1–2 · 0–8 · 3–1 · 0–4

PETRŽALKA W

LLLLLL1–11 · 1–6 · 0–7 · 1–4 · 2–5 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	9	+57	27
2	Slovan Bratislava W	9	+37	24
3	Trenčín W	9	+6	16
4	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	9	+1	15
5	Tatran Prešov W	9	−2	13
6	Komárno W	9	−11	11
7	Spartak Trnava W	9	−15	10
8	Ružomberok W	9	−13	9
9	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	9	−25	4
10	Petržalka W	9	−35	3