Spartak Trnava W v Slovan Bratislava W prediction · I Liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Spartak Trnava W 2–5 Slovan Bratislava W SLOVAN BRATISLAVA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slovan Bratislava W win~~86%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.029

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slovan Bratislava W win at 86%.
1′Much as we predicted: Slovan Bratislava W was 86% before kick-off and our model makes it 86% now. 0–0 · 6–8–86
1′KICK-OFF Spartak Trnava W v Slovan Bratislava W
9′A goal for Slovan Bratislava W on 9′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 2–4–94
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Spartak Trnava W 0–1 Slovan Bratislava W
16′Slovan Bratislava W score on 15′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–98
16′We published Slovan Bratislava W at 86%. Our model now makes it 98%. 0–2 · 0–1–98
16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Spartak Trnava W 0–2 Slovan Bratislava W
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Slovan Bratislava W win: 86% at kick-off, 98% now
25′Spartak Trnava W find the net on 24′. 1–2. 1–2 · 2–5–93
25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Spartak Trnava W 1–2 Slovan Bratislava W
29′A goal for Slovan Bratislava W on 26′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–2–98
29′⚽ GOAL · 26' Spartak Trnava W 1–3 Slovan Bratislava W
32′Slovan Bratislava W score on 31′ to make it 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
32′We published Slovan Bratislava W at 86%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 1–4 · 0–0–100
32′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.9 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–0–100
32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Spartak Trnava W 1–4 Slovan Bratislava W
40′Slovan Bratislava W find the net on 40′. 1–5. 1–5 · 0–0–100
40′6 goals already, more than the 4.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–5 · 0–0–100
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Spartak Trnava W 1–5 Slovan Bratislava W
42′A goal for Spartak Trnava W on 42′ — 2–5. 2–5 · 0–0–100
42′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.9 across ninety minutes. 2–5 · 0–0–100
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Spartak Trnava W 2–5 Slovan Bratislava W
45′HALF-TIME Spartak Trnava W 2–5 Slovan Bratislava W
46′SECOND HALF Spartak Trnava W 2–5 Slovan Bratislava W
FTFULL TIME Spartak Trnava W 2–5 Slovan Bratislava W
FTSpartak Trnava W 2–5 Slovan Bratislava W · Slovan Bratislava W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slovan Bratislava W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Spartak Trnava W 6%, draw 8%, Slovan Bratislava W 86%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Spartak Trnava W v Slovan Bratislava WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Spartak Trnava W win6%

Draw8%

Slovan Bratislava W win86%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueCity Arena Trnava

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Spartak Trnava W

Slovan Bratislava W

15Days since last match15

Last match: 3 Oct · I Liga - Women

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Slovan Bratislava W	8	+34	21
7	Spartak Trnava W	8	−12	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slovan bratislava w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

86% The market–

Us86%

We make Slovan Bratislava W an 86% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–4.0, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Spartak Trnava W v Slovan Bratislava W~~0.88 – 4.05

~~Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 21~~7 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spartak Trnava W win	6%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
Slovan Bratislava W win	86%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	84%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	69%	–	–
Spartak Trnava W or draw	14%	–	–
Spartak Trnava W clean sheet	3%	–	–
Slovan Bratislava W clean sheet	44%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 7.7%

0123450 3.8 6.3 7.7 7.3 5.91 3.0 5.4 6.4 5.8 4.52 2.7 3.1 2.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Spartak Trnava W down, Slovan Bratislava W across0–5 goals a side shown (76.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 691 I Liga - Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: I Liga - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 81.4% of games this season, across 43 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.80 goals a meeting; 10 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Spartak Trnava W at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Bratislava W away: 4.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.88 goals for Spartak Trnava W, 4.05 for Slovan Bratislava W. Most likely score 0–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.80

~~Over 2.5~~10 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SPA 3–7 SLO · SLO 3–1 SPA · SLO 5–2 SPA · SPA 0–4 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 29 Aug

SPARTAK TRNAVA W

LDLWLL0–3 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 1–0 · 3–5 · 0–6

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA W

WWWWWW7–0 · 5–1 · 6–1 · 7–0 · 5–0 · 8–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	8	+53	24
2	Slovan Bratislava W	8	+34	21
3	Trenčín W	8	+10	16
4	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	9	+1	15
5	Tatran Prešov W	9	−2	13
6	Komárno W	9	−11	11
7	Spartak Trnava W	8	−12	10
8	Ružomberok W	9	−13	9
9	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	9	−25	4
10	Petržalka W	9	−35	3